Road Killers
The New Yorker
Posted 2004-01-05
This week in the magazine,
in “Big and Bad,” Malcolm Gladwell writes about S.U.V. safety.
Here, with The New Yorker’s
Ben Greenman, Gladwell discusses the boom of the S.U.V. culture, and whether
S.U.V.s are as safe as drivers feel in them.
BEN GREENMAN: You mention
that people are more concerned with feeling safe than with being safe, and that
this results in the popularity of limited-feedback, poorly performing vehicles
like S.U.V.s. Are there other examples of this S.U.V. culture, like McMansions
and so forth?
MALCOLM GLADWELL: There are.
Part of it has to do with what marketers call
“overperformance”—the idea that there is a growing gap
between the technical characteristics of a product and its real-world use. So
people wear thousand-dollar mountain-climbing jackets to go to the store, or
they type (as I am doing now) on a laptop computer that is capable of running a
Pentagon war game. Technology in many areas has now gone beyond the actual requirements
of use, so we’ve dissociated the two in our minds. The problem with
S.U.V.s, of course, is that there’s a dissociation between their sheer
size and their off-road qualities and how they actually perform on the road.
That has real-world consequences.
One school of thought says
that S.U.V. buyers harbor a kind of outdoorsy fantasy. But I suspect that
it’s more basic than that: this is a vehicle that can flourish in the
most extreme environment imaginable. If it can ford streams and climb over boulders,
just think how safe and protected you’ll be on the trip to Wal-Mart! Of
course, the logic behind that argument is backward: the trip to Wal-Mart is a
good deal more hazardous than fording a stream in the wilderness, and we ought
to be buying cars optimized for the conditions we actually drive in.
Market research shows
that S.U.V.s tend to be bought by people who are "insecure, vain,
self-centered, and self-absorbed, who are frequently nervous about their
marriages, and who lack confidence in their driving skills." But isn't
this what people said about sports cars for many years?
Well, it’s not quite
what people said about sports cars: for example, I think the people who buy
sports cars have excessive confidence in their driving skills. But, in general,
the more expensive an item becomes, the more psychological factors play into
the purchase decision.
Even with the immense
popularity of S.U.V.s, they don't sell themselves. How is the auto industry
marketing them?
There’s a television
commercial for an S.U.V. in which a woman is driving the S.U.V. and a rock
rolls onto the road in front of her, and she swerves around it at the last
minute. That ad claims that S.U.V.s are nimble, and suggests that the key
variable in avoiding the rock was the vehicle. That is an attempt, it seems to
me, to play to the driver who lacks confidence in his or her skills. The most
dominant image in S.U.V. commercials and ads is still the S.U.V. mastering some
off-road obstacle: fording streams, cutting through snowbanks, racing across
virgin wilderness. Obviously, almost no S.U.V. driver is ever going to use his
or her car in those environments (in large part, of course, because racing
across virgin wilderness in an S.U.V. is, for the most part, illegal). Another
interesting thing about S.U.V. advertisements, along these lines, is how rarely
children appear in them. Keith Bradsher makes this point in his book,
“High and Mighty.” Minivans are advertised in family-centric ways.
The S.U.V., on the other hand, is supposed to allow the buyer to pretend that
he or she doesn’t have a family, that he or she is still a kind of rugged
loner without suburban entrapments.
To what degree is the
gas-guzzling aspect of S.U.V.s also a factor in people's love for the
vehicles—the fact that they are perceived as big American machines with
healthy appetites?
I’m not sure that the
gas-mileage issue is that important either way, because gas prices are so low
by historical standards right now. For someone who is buying a
fifty-thousand-dollar Lincoln Navigator, an extra ten dollars at the pump
isn’t that much money. The most important other issue right now, I think,
is the question of fashion: that, at the moment, certain kinds of S.U.V.s (like
the Cadillac Escalade) are simply considered cool, in the way that Corvettes
were cool twenty-five years ago.
Does the relationship
between passive safety and active safety change when the roads of the nation
become lousy with S.U.V.s? In other words, when light trucks were only twenty
per cent of the nation's vehicle fleet, active safety might have worked better.
Does there come a point, at fifty per cent and rising, when how we judge a safe
car has to change?
I would actually make the
opposite case. If every car on the road was a Mini, then the cost of an
accident would be quite small: if you are in a Mini and you hit a Mini, you
aren’t going to be that bad off. So, in the old days, the premium on
active safety wasn’t so large. On the other hand, if every car on the
road is an S.U.V., the cost of an accident grows substantially. When a Ford
Explorer hits a Chevy TrailBlazer, both parties suffer enormously. And, if a
Ford Explorer hits a Mini, the Mini driver is a dead man. I’m more
interested in active safety now than ever before. As a non-S.U.V. owner, I
simply cannot afford to get into any accident at all these days.
Just recently, there was
news of a "historic voluntary commitment" by the auto industry to
make S.U.V.s safer. It involves changing the design in ways that will
supposedly reduce the chance of death for car drivers colliding with S.U.V.s or
trucks by twenty-eight per cent. Is this a good way of addressing the problem,
or a side step?
I think it’s an
excellent start. I don’t think we can easily cure people of their desire
to feel safe—even if that desire does not correlate with actual safety.
But what we can do—and ought to do—is limit the damage that that
obsession does to others. The important thing to remember is that the harm that
S.U.V.s do to other vehicles is not a simple function of their excessive
weight. In other words, if a five-thousand-pound S.U.V. hits you, you
aren’t automatically dead. Cars are so beautifully designed these days
that they can safely absorb tremendous forces in an accident. (I always think
of the fact that the bodyguard in the front seat of Princess Diana’s
Mercedes survived that crash, which was into a concrete pillar reportedly at a
speed in excess of ninety miles per hour. That’s how good car safety has
become.) But all those safety mechanisms usually work if the car is hit
squarely (or, at least, on the same plane) by the opposing vehicle.
That’s what is not happening now. S.U.V.s are so tall that cars simply
submarine them. The kind of redesign that the automakers are talking
about—making S.U.V.s less “aggressive” in their accident
posture and reducing the risks of that kind of submarining—is critically
important. Of course, it would be better if every car on the road was the same
weight. But that’s not going to happen.