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OSLO CONTINUED:
FROM THE BEGINNING OF THE INTIFADA
TO CLINTON'S DECEMBER INITIATIVE:
(continued)
by
Arthur Bierman
Here were its major features: (17)
On territory: A Palestinian state would be established encompassing the whole Gaza Strip and 94% - 96% of the West Bank, with a safe passage route connecting the two regions. The Palestinians would also receive some unspecified Israeli territory whose area would be 1% to 3% of the West Bank. The borders should satisfy the following criteria: Contiguity of the Palestinian West Bank; Israel's annexed territory would consist of three settlement blocks adjacent to the green line and contain 80% of the settlers and a minimum number of Palestinians. An international contingent would replace Israeli forces in the Jordan Valley -- however, Israeli troops would be allowed to remain there for 36 months. Finally, the Palestinian West Bank would be connected to the Gaza Strip by some sort of land bridge. .
On East Jerusalem: Arab areas would be assigned to the Palestinians, Jewish areas to Israel.
On the Temple Mount: Divided sovereignty, with Palestinian sovereignty over the Mosque and Plaza and Israeli sovereignty over the Western Wall with both parties agreeing not to excavate either underneath the surface or behind the Wall.
On refugees: Palestinian refugees would have unlimited right of return to the Palestinian state but any return to Israel would be subject to Israel's sovereign decision. Given Israel's well known determination to accept as few refugees as possible, this last provision would effectively prevent any large scale repatriation of refugees into Israel itself.
As we can see, while prescribing the major parameters of a peace settlement, Clinton's proposal left many issues unresolved. To give just one example -- a specific border satisfying the above criteria for the West Bank and East Jerusalem would still have to be determined. Clinton hoped that both Arafat and Barak could be convinced to accept his parameters as given, in which case they could then proceed quickly to negotiate the details of implementation during the remainder of his term. Given the shortage of time, Clinton requested an answer within five days. He tried also to pressure Arafat and Barak into giving him a positive answer, as can be deduced from the following comments he made in a December 29th press conference: "What I have said to them (Arafat and Barak) is, there is no point in our talking further unless both sides agree to accept the parameters that I've laid out..... If there is a peace agreement here, I'm convinced it's within the four corners I laid out." And later on in the same press conference: "I think that if it (the dispute) can be resolved at all, it can be resolved in the next three weeks." (18)
There still remained the question of how to persuade the two leaders to make the necessary concessions. Here Clinton promised not only active U.S. participation in what he hoped to be the final negotiations of the Oslo peace process but also substantial inducements if the two adversaries succeeded in reaching an agreement. It was thus reported on December 28 by CNN White House correspondent Major Garrett that if both sides accepted the Clinton blueprint, he would invite first Arafat and then Barak to Washington and then hold "a second Camp David style summit " to complete the peace process. (19) As for inducements, Clinton was supposed to have offered Israel "a generous compensation package from the United States, including an upgrading of its strategic relationship and military aid." (20) To Arafat he promised "a thirty billion dollar compensation fund." (21)
It was a most ambitious effort by the American president, but failed for the same reason that Camp David failed -- Clinton's parameters did not live up to the Palestinian demands. It is true that the Israelis were also dissatisfied with some elements of the Clinton blueprint -- they did, however, decide by December 27th to accept the American parameters, if the Palestinians were similarly willing to compromise. Arafat, however, did not respond until January 2nd and when he did finally give his answer, it contained so many reservations and objections that it amounted effectively to a rejection. Thus rebuffed, Clinton abandoned this last minute attempt at peace making and though Israeli-Palestinian negotiations continued after January 2nd, they were based only loosely upon Clinton's parameters, and were carried out without U.S. participation.
***
Let us examine in some detail the diplomatic developments between December 23rd and January 5th.
Immediately after receiving Clinton's proposal, Israel's foreign minister Shlomo Ben Ami returned home and presented the document to the "peace cabinet" for consideration. As described by him to an interviewer nine months later, the cabinet was far from enthusiastic. (22)
"The proposal was difficult for us to accept. No one came out dancing and singing, and Ehud (Barak) especially was perturbed."
One can easily understand Barak's "perturbation." As explained on CNN a few days later by Israeli journalist Daniel Ben Simon, the proposal meant that that the Israelis would "have to say goodbye to most of the settlements and half of Jerusalem and to the Temple Mount which is, for so many Jews, the most sacred place on earth."(23) There was still another "painful Israeli compromise" entailed by Clinton's "bridging proposal"--the provision replacing Israeli forces in the Jordan Valley by an international contingent.
Despite these misgivings, Barak's peace cabinet voted to accept Clinton's proposal in the spirit in which it had been offered -- that is, that it provide the framework for a final peace settlement. Further negotiations would then only be devoted to the details of implementation. However, given Israel's unhappy experience with the Camp David summit, the cabinet decided to make its acceptance conditional upon a corresponding Palestinian acceptance. It voted, therefore, to delay its official answer until Arafat had given his response to the Clinton proposal. To avoid, however, the appearance of procrastination, Ben Ami informed the White House on December 27th and Arafat on December 29th of the cabinet's positive response. From here on, the Foreign Minister told the Palestinian leader, all further discussions "should only be within the framework of the parameters and how to implement them." (24)
Ben Ami's account is not only supported by Gilead Sher's published observations as participant in the final stage negotiations (25) but also by other contemporary sources. For example: On the previously mentioned December 28th program, CNN's Jerusalem reporter Matthew Chance stated that: "Ehud Barak has already indicated he'll accept the U.S. plan." And Gilead Sher, Chief Israeli Negotiator was quoted by CNN as saying that "we consider these ideas (Clinton's parameters) to be the basis for discussion, providing that they will remain, as they are now, a basis for discussion acceptable for the Palestinians." (26) On December 29, President Clinton held a news conference at which he described his role in the Mideast peace process: "I put some ideas on the table. They go beyond where we were at Camp David. And the Israelis said that they would agree to try to close the remaining gaps within the parameters of the ideas I put forward if the Palestinians will agree. " (27)
A very similar statement was issued by the Israeli government on December 31, 2000: "The State of Israel gave a positive answer in principle to President Clinton that is conditioned on a positive answer by the other side." It went on to say: "If the Palestinians accept President Clinton's proposals, it will then be possible to continue the (peace) process while adhering to our principle of no right of return to Israel and the Prime minister's intention not to sign any document that transfers sovereignty over the Temple Mount to the Palestinians." (28) (We should note that since the Clinton outline gave Israel sole right to determine the return of refugees into Israel and since it also advocated granting each side only limited or partial sovereignty over the whole Temple Mount complex, Western Wall included, Barak's above stated two conditions were not incompatible with the Clintonian parameters.) Finally, on the morning of January 2, 2001, Clinton's press secretary Siewert explained Arafat's impending visit to the White House in the following terms: "The chairman agreed to come here in the hopes that we could reach some sort of common understanding about the parameters of a negotiation if it were to take place. We have heard from the Israelis that they think that such a negotiation is worthwhile, and they think that they would be happy to sit down. But we are waiting to hear back on a final answer from the Palestinians." (29)
As we can see from these citations, not only had Israel responded in a timely fashion to Clinton's proposal but had also responded positively -- that is, it had agreed to accept Clinton's parameters as defining the framework for further negotiations, if the Palestinians were prepared to do the same.
How did the Palestinian respond to Clinton's December 23rd proposal? We should first note that Arafat, instead of replying to Clinton within the requested five day period, delayed his answer until January 2nd. Whether this was intended to delay negotiations until after Clinton's term had expired, or whether it reflected Arafat's genuine inability to reach a quick decision on the American proposal is not known. But whatever the reason, this delay jeopardized not only the success of Clinton's last minute effort but also of the whole Oslo peace process. This follows from the fact that all Israeli public opinion surveys were predicting that Sharon, a well known opponent of Oslo, would win the up coming February 6th elections.
For over a week the world waited anxiously for Arafat's response. But while the PA was temporarily silent, some important Palestinian voices raised substantial objections to the President's proposal. Thus, Marwan Barghouthi, the West Bank's Fatah Secretary, predicted that it would not be acceptable to the Palestinian people. "In an interview with the Egyptian Television broadcast tonight , Barghouthi noted that "nothing that would negate the Palestinians' right of return could be acknowledged," and added that "this right is sacred under Resolution 194." (30) Also, on the same day, the Jerusalem Al-Quds published an editorial which stated that "the central issue in the Palestinian --Israeli conflict ..is the issue of the refugees and their right of return to their towns and villages," and that it could not be traded in to gain Palestinian sovereignty in East Jerusalem. (31)
The official Palestinian response was finally delivered on January 1, 2001, as a memorandum issued in the name of the Palestinian negotiating team -- and on the next day, Arafat personally presented the same text to the Clinton White House. (32) While the document formally accepted the American proposal, its actual message, namely rejection, can be immediately deduced from its opening statement -- that the U.S. proposals "fail to satisfy the conditions required for a permanent peace"-- as well as from its concluding sentence -- that "we cannot, however, accept a proposal that secures neither the establishment of a viable Palestinian state nor the right of Palestinian refugees to return to their homes." The main points of the document are summarized on the very first page:
"We wish to explain why the United States proposals, taken together and as presented without clarification, fail to satisfy the conditions required for a permanent peace. As it stands now, the United States proposal would:
"1. divide a Palestinian state into three separate cantons connected and divided by Jewish only and Arab only roads and jeopardize the Palestinian state's viability;". --
"2. divide Palestinian Jerusalem into a number of unconnected islands separate from each other and from the rest of Palestine;"
"3. force Palestinians to surrender the right of return of Palestinian refugees...."
And a few paragraphs later, the memorandum returns to the refugee issue with the following strong assertion:
"The essence of the right of return is choice. Palestinians should be given the option to choose where they wish to settle, including return to the homes from which they were driven. There is no historical precedent for a people abandoning their fundamental right to return to their homes...We will not be the first to do so. Recognition of the right of return and the provision of choice to refugees is a prerequisite for the closure of the conflict." (My emphasis.)
The memorandum raised also serious questions concerning Clinton's proposal that Israel and the Palestinians share sovereignty over the Temple Mount complex.
"The United States formulations on the Haram [the Arab name for the Temple Mount] are problematic. First the proposal appears to recognize Israeli sovereignty under the Haram by implying that it has a right, which it voluntarily relinquishes, to excavate behind the Western Wall (i.e., the area under the Haram, Moreover, the "Western Wall" extends to areas beyond the Wailing Wall,..."
In short, Arafat raised serious objections to every important item in Clinton's proposal-- a circumstance which led Dennis Ross to claim that while Arafat "said yes, ..he added reservations that meant he rejected every single one of the things he was supposed to give." (33) The same conclusion, that Arafat had effectively rejected the Clinton proposal, was also reached by Robert Malley and Hussein Agha, two well informed observers much more sympathetic to the Palestinian cause than Dennis Ross. (34) After listing a number of reasons why Arafat distrusted Clinton's diplomacy -- the offer was not "final" but consisted only of parameters requiring further negotiations; Arafat felt pressured by Clinton's and Barak's impending departures from power to accept a deal which might never materialize; a better proposal might be forthcoming if he waited for the new American administration-- Malley and Agha concluded that "Arafat preferred to continue negotiations under the comforting umbrella of international resolutions rather than within the confines of America's uncertain proposals." Which is a gentle way of saying that Arafat had rejected Clinton's proposal.
Interestingly enough, Prince Bandar bin Sultan, the Saudi Ambassador to Washington reached the identical conclusion. Based upon extensive interviews with the Saudi prince, a recent New Yorker article by Elsa Walsh presents Bandar's account of his involvement in these December negotiations. (35) Pressed by Clinton to assist his last minute peace effort, Bandar was first reluctant to participate, but changed his mind when shown the President's bridging proposal. According to Walsh, "Bandar recognized that in its newest iteration the peace plan was a remarkable development. It gave Arafat almost everything he wanted, including the return of about ninety-seven percent of the land of the occupied territories; all of Jerusalem except the Jewish and Armenian quarters, with Jews preserving the right to worship at the Temple Mount; and a thirty-billion-dollar compensation fund."
Persuaded of the proposal's excellence, Bandar met with Arafat prior to his January 2nd White House meeting and urged him to accept it. Arafat had seemed receptive to Bandar's argument, which impression left the prince angry and confused when told the next day of Arafat's negative answer to the White House offer. According to Walsh, it was Bandar's belief that "Arafat... was committing a crime against the Palestinians - in fact, against the entire region."
Our claim that Arafat had effectively rejected Clinton's parameters receives additional support from a January 16 memorandum issued by Arafat's own Fatah Movement. Citing no fewer than 44 (!!!) reasons for rejecting the American proposal, it repeated the essence of Arafat's January 1st letter, but expressed it in much harsher language. (36) Thus, where the letter had thanked President Clinton "for the tremendous effort he has expended in promoting a just and lasting peace", the Fatah memorandum attacked "the monopoly of the Zionist Clinton administration to the peace process". It rejected also the "principle of Judaization...of Jerusalem", rejected "any rights of Jews in the Aqsa Mosque that must not be desecrated by the Zionist extremists", rejected any "talk over the so called Wailing Wall" and defended the right of return of refugees on the ground that it would "help Jews get rid of the racist Zionism."
Three comments are in order concerning this Palestinian response. The first notes once again the Palestinian insistence upon the unlimited right of return of refugees to Israel and their corresponding refusal to acknowledge that it threatened Israel's very existence as a Jewish state. The second notes the Palestinian objection to even the slightest hint of a Jewish connection to the area under the Haram - an area where the Jewish temple was located two thousand years ago. And the third notes the repeated Palestinian claim that the Clinton parameters would lead to a cantonized West Bank. This last is an assertion which Dennis Ross, ordinarily not given to strong language, called a "canard". He went on to say: "Yet with 97 percent of the territory in Palestinian hands, there would have been no cantons. Palestinian areas would not have been isolated or surrounded." (37)
***
Arafat's "yes. but.." response to the Clinton proposal, effectively killed the President's hope of gaining a peace treaty before his term ended on January 2nd. It also freed Israel of its original decision to accept the parameters without reservations. Hence, three days after Arafat's visit, the Israelis sent a six page memorandum to the White House, which again accepted the President's proposals but listed also its own questions and reservations. How serious were these? I am unable to answer this question because I have so far been unable to locate the text of the Israeli document. I am therefore limited to repeating the following description contained in the previously cited September 2001 interview of Ben Ami:
"We sent the Americans a document of several pages containing our reservations. But as far as I recall, they were pretty minor and dealt mainly with security arrangements and deployment areas and control over the passages. There was also clarification concerning our sovereignty over the Temple Mount. There was no doubt that our reply was positive." (38)
The Clinton administration, though clearly disappointed, tried to put the best possible interpretation upon these developments. Thus, White House spokesman Jake Siewert announced on January 3rd that "Chairman Arafat told the President that he had accepted the President's parameters; at the same time he expressed some reservations. What that means is that both sides have now accepted the President's ideas with some reservations." He then added, with a straight face:" That represents a step forward."(39)
As to the immediate future, there was no more talk of a summit terminating the conflict. Instead, Siewert announced that "in the coming days we'll discuss the reservations that both sides have expressed , their interpretations of the President's ideas with each side separately. We'll work to see whether we can reconcile these interpretations in a way that allows us to move forward......There is still a lot of work to do."
In short, the administration acknowledged that its hopes for achieving a peace settlement before January 20th had proved illusory. Clinton had barely two weeks left in office and, given the substantial Palestinian objections to his bridging proposal, it was clearly too late to negotiate a settlement before his term ended. His last minute effort at peacemaking had ended in failure.
It seems quite clear from this account that it was Arafat who had wrecked Clinton's hope of ending his term with a successful peace agreement. This seems to have been also Clinton's own view, as presented, for example, by Newsweek in its July 1, 2001 issue. According to Newsweek, at a recent Manhattan party Clinton had recounted the following exchange with Arafat. Three days prior to his leaving office, the Palestinian leader had called and told him that he was "a great man." Clinton claimed to have responded. "The hell I am. I'm a colossal failure and you made me one." (41) A very similar evaluation was rendered by Prince Bandar. According to Walsh, Bandar told her that "Clinton, the bastard, really tried his best....and Barak's position was so avant-garde that it was equal to Prime Minister Rabin....It broke my heart that Arafat did not take that offer." (41)
***
It is interesting to conclude with an official Palestinian interpretation of this episode. On January 6th, 2001, the Palestinian newspaper Ramallah Al-Ayyam printed a report by Yasir Abed Rabbo, member of the PLO Executive Committee and PA Minister of Culture and Information, which denounced Dennis Ross, Clinton's special envoy to the peace process, as well as, more generally, the "outgoing US administration which is under the extremist Israeli-Zionist influence." Rabbo accused them of trying to "trick" the Palestinians into agreeing to the "so called Clinton initiative ...without reservations." When this "trick" failed, Rabbo continued, "they sent Gilead Sher to Washington carrying a document containing bases inferior to those contained in the Clinton initiative. The Americans did not say anything and some European quarters did not accuse them. These quarters, who do not miss any opportunity to show their loyalty to Zionism, did not say one word and did not launch any campaign against the Israelis for rejecting the Clinton initiative." (42) It seems that Clinton's "so called initiative" had been part of a U.S.-Israeli conspiracy to trick the Palestinians into agreeing to unacceptable concessions. This cunning scheme failed, however. "No one, regardless of Ross' skills in carrying out negotiating tricks, can secure a document containing (Palestinian) concessions concerning our rights in Jerusalem, al-Haram, the right of the refugees and our sovereignty over our land within the June 4, 1967 borders."
Two things are noteworthy about this Palestinian report. First, that it disseminated an exceedingly hostile, conspiratorial interpretation of the Clinton "initiative" -- an interpretation which also required Rabbo to distort the Israeli response to the American proposal. And secondly, that it continued to insist upon that same non-negotiable package of demands which had torpedoed the Camp David summit and led to the second Intifada.
***
EPILOGUE:
In June 2002, a year and a half after having effectively rejected the Clinton proposal, Yasser Arafat told a UPI interviewer that " he would support the Clinton plan without changes." (43) He did not explain what had caused him to change his mind.
One is tempted to repeat Abba Eban's well known aphorism that "the Palestinians never miss an opportunity to miss an opportunity."
ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS:
I am grateful to Dr. Gideon Weisz for translating for me large portions of Gilead Sher's book on Oslo. (See endnote 25) His comments were also exceedingly helpful and I thank him for them.
ENDNOTES:
(1) Arthur Bierman, What Caused Intifada II?
(2) See, for example, Taysir Qub'ah, "Protection and Continuation of the Blessed Intifadah is a Top Priority of all Palestinian Forces", Ramallah Al-Ayyam, October 6, 2000; FBIS-NES-2000-1006. (FBIS is the acronym for Foreign Broadcast Information Service, a U.S. government agency which translates foreign media into English. NES specifies the particular region of interest, in this case the Middle and Far East. FBIS reports are available at most large libraries, usually in their Government publication departments.)
(3) Ibid
(4) Ramallah Al-Ayyam, November 27, 2000, FBIS-NES-2000-1127
(5) Editorial, Ramallah Al-Hayah al-Jadidah, December 10, 2000, FBIS-NES-2000-1211
(6) Taysir Qub'ah, op. cit.
(7) Report in Ramallah Al-Hayah al-Jadidah, October 8, 2000; FBIS-NES-2000-1006;
(8) Report in Ramallah Al-Ayyam, October 9, 2000; FBIS-NES-2000-1006
(9) For casualty statistics, see "Fatalities in the al-Aqsa Intifada, Data by Month", B'tselem(General Information/Statistics)
For recent claims that al-Dura had not been killed by Israeli fire, see "Who Shot Mohammed Al-Dura?", The Atlantic Online, June 2003,
James Fallow
(10) Report in Ramallah Al-Ayyam, November 12, 2000; FBIS-NES-2000-1112
(11) See, for example, an interview with Abu -Mazen, Ramallah Al-Ayyam, October 10, 2000, FBIS-NES-2000-1006
(12) See "Israel and Palestinians Take First Steps to Calm the Violence.", The New York Times, October 19, 2000, p. A16
(13) Report, Jerusalem Al-Quds, October 26, 2000; FBIS-NES-2000-1026
(14) Joel Greenberg, "Clashes Continue as Palestinians Protest Summit Meeting", The New York Times, October 17, 2000,
(15) David E. Sanger, "Clinton Urges Arafat To Calm Rioting in the West Bank", The New York Times, October 25, 2000, p. A3
(16) See B'tselem : "Fatalities in the al-Aqsa Intifada, Data by Month", op. cit.
(17) "President Clinton's proposals, 23 December, 2000."
Le Monde diplomatique.
(18) "Excerpts: Clinton on Mideast Peace Prospects." Press Conference, December 29, 2000,
(19) CNN Insight, "Violence Continues as U.S., Palestinians, Israeli Leaders Strive for Peace." Aired, December 28, 2000. Available upon request from arthur.bierman@comcast.net
(20) "Israel, PA expected to agree on basis for talks"; Aluf Benn, Amira Hass and Dalia Shehori, Haaretz, December 25, 2000.
(21) Elsa Walsh, "The Prince", The New Yorker, March 24, 2003, p. 55
(22) Ari Shavit, "Interview of Shlomo Ben Ami" Haaretz, 9/13/01
Available upon request from arthur.bierman@comcast.net
(23) CNN Insight, "Violence Continues as U.S., Palestinians, Israeli Leaders Strive for Peace." op. cit.
(24) Ari Shavit, "Interview of Shlomo Ben Ami" , op. cit.
(25) Gilead Sher, Just Beyond Reach - The Israeli-Palestinian Peace Negotiations, 1999-2001;
(Miskal - Yedioth Ahronoth Books and Chemed Books, Tel Aviv, 2001) In Hebrew.
(26) CNN Insight, "Violence Continues as U.S., Palestinians, Israeli Leaders Strive for Peace." op. cit.
(27) "Excerpts: Clinton on Mideast Peace Prospects." Press Conference, December 29, 2000
(28) "PM Barak: Israel has proven its commitment to Peace." December 31, 2000. (Communicated by the Prime Minister's Media Advisor.) Available upon request from arthur.bierman@comcast.net
(29) " White House Spokesman on Arafat-Clinton Meeting", January 2, 2001.
US Embassy, Israel.Excerpts:
(30) "Fatah's Al-Barghouthu Says US Proposals Fall short of Palestinian Proposals." Cairo MENA, FBIS-NES-2000-1227. December 26, 2000
(31) "Jerusalem Al-Quds Warns of Regional Repercussions of Ceding on Refugee Issue."
Editorial, Jerusalem Al-Quds, December 26, 2000; FBIS-NES-2000-1226
(32) "Remarks and Questions From the Palestinian Negotiating Team Regarding the United States Proposal." January 1, 2001, PLO Negotiations Affairs Department,
(33) Fox News, "Interview with Dennis Ross," April 21, 1002.
Available upon request from arthur.bierman@comcast.net
(34) Robert Malley and Hussein Agha, "Camp David: The Tragedy of Errors." The New York Review, August 9, 2001.
(35) Elsa Walsh, "The Prince", The New Yorker, op. cit., see pp.55-58
(36) "44 reasons why Fateh Movement rejects the Proposals made by US President Clinton, " January 16, 2001; Palestinian National Authority.
Available upon request from arthur.bierman@comcast.net
(37) Dennis Ross, "Think Again- Yasir Arafat", Foreign Policy, July-August, 2002;
(38) Ari Shavit, "Interview of Shlomo Ben Ami;" op. cit.
(39) "White House Spokesman on Clinton-Arafat Talks.", U.S. Embassy, Israel.
January 3, 2001. Excerpts:
(40) "Clinton to Arafat: It's all your Fault." Newsweek, July 1, 2001.
Available upon request from arthur.bierman@comcast.net
(41) Elsa Walsh, op. cit. p. 58
(42) "Abd Rabuh Raps Ross, Says Israli Conditions Render US Initiative Non-existent." Ramallah Al-Ayyam, January 6, 2001. FBIS-NES-1001-0108
(43) "Arafat Ready To Accept Clinton Peace Plan." The Washington Times, June 21, 2002, Available upon request from arthur.bierman@comcast.net
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