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What's The Fuss All About?
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Talk given to the Oak Ridge Rotary Club (Noon)
- Al Brooks - 2/4/99
Ten Questions (out of twenty,
its not a game)
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Is the Mercury in LEFPC a Significant Hazard?
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Does a Little Radiation Cause a Lot of Serious Diseases?
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Will the ORR Waste Pits Undergo Nuclear Criticality?
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Do Environmental Pollutants Cause All Worker Illness?
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Is TSCA Killing the Pine Trees? And The Humans
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Does DOE Significantly Pollute the Clinch River?
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Is Scarboro So Close to Y-12 so as to be Badly Polluted?
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Is Oak Ridge an Unhealthy Place to Live?
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Is Oak Ridge Alone in this Mess?
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Will the Mess Go Away All by Itself?
My Answers are NO - So What's
All the Fuss About?
Well, for one thing not everyone
agrees with me
And the last "No" demands action.
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Is the Mercury in LEFPC a Significant
Hazard?
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During the Cold War (1960), mercury was discharged to the
UEFPC by Y-12.
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The process was quickly changed to reduce the emissions and
effective mitigation actions are still going on. The current mercury LEFPC
levels are about 5000 times less than the historic maximum, the water meets
mercury drinking standards. But LEFPC was contaminated. About 1983, DOE
was forced to go public by two separate efforts.
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The remediation studies of LEFPC, Lower East Fork Popular
Creek, were begun and several public meetings were held. The mercury was
assumed to be methyl mercury, a very toxic compound. The initial proposed
cleanup level was 10 ppm and the original estimated cost was $ 1.6 billion.
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The mercury was shown to be, not methyl mercury, but a very
insoluble form possibly mercuric sulfide, which is used in Chinese traditional
medicine (to calm the nerves). In 1986, the ORR including LEFPC was declared
an NPL site and EPA entered the picture.
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The cleanup level became 50 ppm and the cost $370 million.
But the EPA had no standards for mercuric sulfide and had based the risk
analysis on the soluble mercuric chloride. EPA regulations and risk assessment
methodology have deliberate numerous safety factors which lead to enormous
over all safety factors (1,000 to 1,000,000)
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A Citizens Working Group was created, many open meetings
were held and the public questioned the very large safety factor and presented
technical data and arguments to support their concerns. There was a protracted
tug-of-war between the EPA (with regulations) and the public (with data).
The remediation level rose to 400 ppm and the cost dropped to about $10
million. After 12 years and $31 million of studies a truce was declared
and remediation was started and finished.
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Now, following the receipt of a letter from one individual,
dissatisfied with the results and the public process, the EPA is again
sampling the LEFPC to determine if a recent flood could have re-contaminated
the Creek.
That's What This Fuss Is All
About
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Does a Little Radiation Cause
a Lot of Serious Illness?
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This is a complex serious question. And badly defined.
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There are three schools of thought about low level radiation
a) Yes - the extrapolation to the origin is linear, a
little is a little bad.
b) No - there is a threshold below which there is no
ill effect
c) Hell No - a little bit is good for you , stimulates
the immune system
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Even if we knew the answer to 2) and could agree on which
illnesses were serious we would not know what a "lot" is.
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Permitted radiation levels for the public are about 1 % of
background.
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About lifetime risks, the courts
have said:
a) 1 in a billion is too small to worry about.
b) 1 in a thousand is big enough to worry about.
c) Debates are about the range of 1 in ten thousand to
1 in a million.
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In the real world, 1 in ten thousand is way down on the list
of biggies.
The real biggies run about 1 in ten to 3 in ten.
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Twelve million children die each year
of diseases related to malnutrition.
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Senator Moynihan said: "Well, life
is about risk and it ends badly."
This Is What the Fuss is All
About
How big a risk is big; how clean
is clean?
Where should we spend our money?
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Will the ORR Waste Pits Undergo
Nuclear Criticality?
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It has been repeatedly alleged that one or more of the waste
disposal areas (just which one and when is seldom clear) have undergone
nuclear criticality event releasing all manner of pollution into our atmosphere
resulting in all kinds of illnesses.
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All attempts to verify such an event in the records have
failed to do so. The recommended contacts with the FBI, DOE AG and the
K-25 Plant were made and the rumors denied. The nuclear events then evolved
into "slow cookers" - very low level emissions.
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In additions to endless discussions on the EUWG, a "criticality
workshop" comprising numerous expert (local and outside) and the public
was held. The results indicate that the depleted and normal uranium and
the very small amount of enriched uranium simply cannot undergo a chain
reaction.
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Slow cookers are very, very difficult to produce under the
very best of conditions and are even hard to detect.
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Nevertheless the claims are still made and some of the non-technical
members of our community are led to believe a great cover-up exists and
that they have been exposed. Newspapers just love this one.
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For the record, there was one accidental critical event in
the Y-12 processing facility in 1958. It was known by the press in about
20 minutes and announced by AEC in about one hour. Five workers were exposed
without serious effects. All other critical events occurred under controlled
research conditions or in reactors. Criticality
is our business.
That’s What This Fuss Was All
About
The Possible is not the Probable.
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Do Environmental Pollutants
Cause All Worker Illness?
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First and clearly, the cases of Chronic Beryllium Disease
(CBD) are well established. Y-12 started using beryllium just before the
dangers and treachery of this metal were well known. Unfortunately some
workers were harmed and many are receiving benefits.
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The Oak Ridge sick worker syndrome is different in nature
and not unique to Oak Ridge. The occurrence is sometimes known as the "sick
building syndrome"; in Oak Ridge it might be called the "sick site syndrome".
It is a collection of diverse symptoms that the medical profession does
not completely understand and cannot readily identifies the causes. The
phenomenon has been studied. Most medical views are that it is a collection
of diseases, not a single disease; others disagree and see the disease
as a complex response to multiple low levels of toxic exposure.
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The causes have allegedly been cyanide, TSCA emissions, heavy
metals and radiation. As each have been investigated and found non contributory
the study has been discredited and the next cause invoked. At the present
time a detailed medical study is (hopefully) nearing conclusion and will
report soon. Another multi-agency study is being contemplated.
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Make no mistake these people are ill. Some are seriously
ill, some are moderately ill and some may be marginally ill but all experience
symptoms that are real to them. Some may be work related.
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The question is not, "Are they ill?" It is, "What is causing
it and what can be done about it?"
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The ill workers believe that DOE should know or find the
answers but the medical profession cannot seem to do so. There are differences
of opinion on who is responsible for what and a lot of confusion and, also,
accusations.
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In the absence of definitive information, alleged massive
conspiracies abound. DOE, the Contractors, the newspapers, the Hospital,
the doctors, the medical laboratories, the other Agencies, etal.
That's What this Fuss is All
About.
And it will get worse.
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Is TSCA Killing the Pine Trees?
And The Humans?
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It has been repeatedly alleged that the ORR Pine Trees are
dying from TSCA emissions and that pine seedlings have an immune system
similar to humans. It seems to make no difference that the pine trees started
dying 25 years before TSCA started operations. The early cause became radiation,
especially Sr-90. In truth, it's the Southern pine tree beetle.
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The pine tree deaths are given as evidence that humans are
at risk and there is a great cover-up of fallout and worse.
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This would be amusing if it were not repeated until those
seeking a cause for their problems believed it. It also has made great
newspaper copy. It is almost unbelievable but it resulted in a study of
pine trees and seedlings.
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Unfortunately there are no continuous monitors for TSCA emissions.
The TSCA incinerator is issued a permit after careful test burn conditions
and is required to operate in an almost identical manner. The removal of
contaminants is assumed to be the same as in the test burns. If you sit
and examine TSCA operations, they are held to exceedingly close tolerances,
closer than most analytical instruments. The result is a very reliable
performance as indicated by "grab" samples. Talking with outside experts
one finds that they believe TSCA is an efficient and well-run incinerator.
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The emission levels of TSCA are about
1 % of the EPA allowed emission levels for chemicals. And about 0.06 %
of the radiation background. One could not possibly detect any effect.
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In the bigger picture, the alleging that TSCA emissions were
large and dangerous resulted in the governor appointing an independent
panel to investigate the safety of TSCA operations. They reached the same
conclusion that any one examining the TSCA emission and operating data
would reach - TSCA is safe.
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Still there are those who say it is all a big cover-up.
That’s What This Fuss Is All
About
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Does DOE Significantly Pollute
the Clinch River?
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In the past, significant amounts of radioactivity were
introduced into the Clinch River. Effective actions to reduce the amounts
were taken and the present rates of release are small but need to be smaller.
The past releases are now in the Gulf of Mexico or are buried in the deep
sediments under new sediments. After a short mixing region below the mouth
of White Oak Creek, the Clinch River meets drinking water standards.
The only hazards in the Clinch River are the inaccessible
deep sediments and the PCBs in certain fish whose consumption should be
limited. The PCB levels are marginally above the allowed levels and only
about 25 % of this is from DOE operations. Other near by water bodies are
also contaminated.
The ATSDR measured PCB and mercury blood levels of heavy
fish and turtle eaters from the Lower Watts Bar Reservoir and did not find
significantly elevated levels. The margin of safety seems to be more than
adequate.
The Clinch River Tributaries - Especially
WOC
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These are waters of the state and some do not meet the state
regulations
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The DOE is committed to cleaning up these streams and the
ORR planned remediation should do so.
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The remediation methods include some excavation, hydrologic
isolation (keep the buried waste dry) and treatment of intercepted shallow
ground water.
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About an 80 % reduction in pollutants is projected
The Deep Ground Water Plumes
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There is no evidence to show that this is an immediate hazard.
Ground water moves slowly and most pollutants lag behind. Natural processes
remedy many plumes.
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Effective treatment is expensive largely due to the inefficiencies
of the technologies now used.
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New and better technologies are being sought. The process
will be slow.
If you believe that DOE will
follow through on their responsibilities and plans and you can accept some
small risks for the near future, this is an acceptable situation.
If you believe that small involuntary
risks are intolerable then this is not an acceptable situation.
That’s What This Fuss Is All About
How Clean Is Clean?
| Is Scarboro So Close to Y-12 so
as to be Badly Polluted? |
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Building Scarboro as an isolated, segregated community was
abominable.
It is the closest residential community to a DOE production
or waste area.
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However the evidence is that the amount of contamination
from Y-12 is negligible. The background levels are within the range of
normal. The uranium from Y-12 is about 1 % of the natural uranium level
and uranium contributes less than 1 % to the background radiation level.
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Other data such as the fly-over radiation surveys show Scarboro
to be normal. The monitoring data in Scarboro shows it to be normal. As
do the past sampling data.
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In spite of this, the Scarboro community (and Oak Ridge)
with the help of the Nashville Tennessean has been labeled as contaminated
and rife with illness. Many of its residents are concerned. Others are
concerned with the negative aspects of the image Scarboro has received.
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There have been numerous meetings that have become a sounding
board for all kinds of issues including sick workers and general conspiracy.
An environmental justice committee has been formed.
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The Center for Disease Control and TN Dept. of Health has
spent $300,000 for a study, which showed the Scarboro
respiratory disease rate to be normal with nothing alarming. A think
tank has been granted $500,000 to explain the results. A new multi-agency
study is anticipated.
That’s What This Fuss Is All
About
And It Will Get Worse
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Is Oak Ridge an Unhealthy Place
to Live?
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One detractor says: "Oak
Ridge, as an area, has been highly affected by toxic metals[sic] releases
from the nuclear plants and TVA that have taken decades of the lifespan
of workers and residents in the area."
An EPA regulator stated if my
son found employment in the ETTP, I would be greatly concerned about
his safety and future health.
Consider the following from the
TDH - Statistical Profiles of Tennessee:
Average Mortality Data for Selected Counties -
1990 1997
Deaths per 100,000 people
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| County |
Mortality
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Home to:
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| Anderson |
489.86
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Oak Ridge & Y-12
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| Roane |
524.08
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ORNL & ETTP
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| Knox |
518.38
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ORR Neighbor
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| Hamilton |
544.55
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Chattanooga
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| Davidson |
588.94
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The Nashville Tennessean
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| Shelby |
628.41
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Memphis
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| Tennessee |
555.56
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The Vols
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Now we know why the Tennessean
reporters like to come to Oak Ridge, TN
In spite of all this, the Oak Ridge image is getting
worse; it makes the attraction of industry more difficult; it depresses
property values.
If you believe one radioactive
atom is too many, then Oak Ridge is not safe.
Neither is any place else.
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Is Oak Ridge Alone in this
Mess?
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All DOE sites are under similar attacks.
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All EPA Superfund sites are under similar attack.
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Science is under attack and its relation to reality is
questioned.
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In the new philosophy, you can believe what you want to
believe
and it's just as true and valid as any other belief.
One proposed solution is
ship it somewhere else but NIMBY is always ISEBY.
Not In My Back Yard is always
In Someone Else's Back Yard
All sites share similar problems in their relation
to the public.
If we are to have the benefits
of a technological society, then we better learn how to deal with technological
waste rationally.
WE Are NOT Alone!!
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Will the Mess Go Away All
by Itself?
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Very few citizens are speaking out for their community.
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DOE is not speaking out in its own defense and
it needs to do so.
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The contrary-to-fact statements are not corrected.
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The naysayers set the tone of the meetings and the media
coverage.
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The pro-Oak Ridgers are badly organized.
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Money is being spent on new studies or efforts.
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The studies themselves denigrate Oak Ridge.
Why would the government spend millions if there were
not a problem?
We told you it would be another cover-up!!!
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The coming ORHASP dose reconstruction studies will make
it worse.
One must ask, why does Oak Ridge
sit idly by and let fewer than a dozen persons destroy its image and its
good reputation? Think about it.
What Is the Rotary Club Going
To Do?
What Are Oak Ridgers Going To
Do?
Think About It.
What Are You Going To Do?