Page Last Updated: Sunday, 04 October 2009 12:04 EDT, © 2002, 2005, 2007, 2008, 2009

Topic: Geopolitical Analysis

Dr. Dean S. Hartley III

Geopolitical analysis is extremely difficult (consider the disagreements among past Presidents, Secretaries of State, academics, etc.) It is also important.

Select one of the links below.

• US Pacific Command (USPACOM): Defined conceptual model to address geo-political decisions reflecting psychological and sociological responses to the decisions by the various individuals and groups in the decision environment. Discussed the model as invited speaker to AMORS III in Bangkok, Thailand (see link in SO/LIC project below).

• Office of the Assistant Secretary of Defense (OASD), Special Operations / Low Intensity Conflict (SO/LIC): This project involved defining the analysis requirements for Costing OOTWs, designing forces for OOTWs, simulating the impacts of events in OOTWs, and making recommendations.

• USPACOM: This project involved a gathering of experts in predicting national instabilities.

• Defense Modeling and Simulation Office (DMSO): This project involves specifying the architecture for and creating an OOTW Toolbox.

• Internal Research & Development: This project involved creating a tracking tool for OOTWs, the Interim Static Stability Model (ISSM). The ISSM was upgraded to the Interim Semi-static Stability Model , a full scale Diplomatic, Information, Military, Economic (DIME) / Political, Military, Economic, Social, Infrastructure, Information (PMESII) tool.

• Military Operations Research Society (MORS): One project involved chairing a working group of a workshop on the Global War on Terrorism (GWOT). A second project involved co-chair of a working group on Analyzing the Impact of Emerging Societies on National Security. A third project involved chairing a working group on Understanding the Consequences of Catastrophic Events.

• Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency (DARPA): As part of a team, created a VV&A Methodology for Conflict Modeling, Planning and Outcome Experimentation (COMPOEX), a DIME/PMESII simulation, including novel methods to support rapid validation under conditions of model changes and novel methods to support causal tracing.

• Naval Research Laboratory (NRL): This project involved providing advice on DIME/PMESII tools.

• National Defense University (NDU): This project involved chairing a working group on DIME/PMESII tools and verification & validation in a HSCB Workshop, co-chairing the Synthesis Working Group in the second workshop, and writing and editing the proceedings.

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