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The ELF Report Portfolios This Month In spite the recent strength in the market, the S&P 500 is still down over 18 percent year-to-date. By contrast, the nine ELF Report portfolios cumulatively are down only slightly more than three percent. Three portfolios actually have shown gains year-to-date. The Stable Growth Portfolio is up about eight percent. The Mid Cap Portfolio has rallied strongly and is up about seven percent. The Speculative Portfolio is up less than one percent. Three ELF Report Portfolios have shown annualized
returns of over 25 percent since we launched the
ELF Report Market Timing Strategy on April 17, 1999.
The Mid Cap Portfolio has an annualized return of 27
percent. While this is down considerably over the last 18
months, the portfolio has actually raised its annualized
return about 10 percent since September 11, 2001. The
Undervalued Portfolio has an annualized return of almost 26
percent, and the Speculative Portfolio's return is slightly
over 25 percent. While the Mid Cap Portfolio has been fairly
volatile, the other two have been remarkably consistent. |
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FEATURED PORTFOLIO |
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The Mid Cap Portfolio has made a strong recovery from the bear market, adding many new holdings during the last two months, and those holding have done quite well. The portfolio is close to surpassing the level at which the BUY signal was given in February. If it accomplishes that, it will maintain a perfect record of going up under an ELF Report short-term BUY signal and going down under a short-term SELL signal. This is a good portfolio to follow under the ELF Report's Market Timing Strategy. |
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The S&P 500 Index chart tracks the stock market's performance during the last 18 months. The green portions of the graph are periods during which the ELF Report's Short-Term Strategy was under a BUY signal. The red portions are periods under a SELL signal. In all but one case since April 17, 1999 (the terrorist attacks in the fall of 2001), the ELF Report's Short-Term Strategy has registered a gain under BUY signals and has avoided loses under SELL signals. Of course, the current BUY signal has a long way to go to maintain that good record. |

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Each portfolio is ranked each week from 1 (best) to 9 (worst) in six performance areas (only four reported here). A weighted ranking is then calculated to yield the overall portfolio rankings.
Ranking moved up this month.
Ranking moved down this month.
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OVERALL
PORTFOLIOS
ANNUAL. RETURN
SAFETY
SUCCESS
HIGH SUCCESS
1
Mid Cap
1
2
2
2
2
Undervalued
2
1
4
4
3
Stable Growth
4
3
5
5
4
Total Return
5
4
3
3
5
Modified Dow Dogs
7
5
1
1
6
Speculative
3
7
7
7
7
Select
9
6
9
8
8
Quality Growth
6
9
6
6
9
Large Cap
8
8
8
9
"% GAIN TO DATE" is based on the current dollar value and the dollar cost basis for the current holdings in the portfolio. Commissions and dividends have not been considered. Because some portfolios give a SELL signal when a stock in the portfolio drops 20% from the original BUY price, the reported "Gain" can fluctuate considerably from week to week. "ANNUALIZED RETURN" is calculated for all stocks that have received a BUY signal since the portfolio's inception. The portfolio's "Annualized Return" is calculated from the percent each stock's individual holding period is of the total holding period for all stocks together. Because both current and closed out positions are considered in this calculation, long-term portfolios will show less fluctuation in reported returns. Comparing "% Gain to Date" with "Annualized Return" will show whether a portfolio is currently performing better or worse than the portfolio's long-term record. "% UP" is the percent of all stocks that have received BUY signals in this portfolio that are currently up from the original BUY price or that were closed out above the original BUY price. "UP 30% OR MORE" is the percent of all stocks that have received BUY signals in this portfolio that are currently up 30% or more from the original BUY price or that were closed out 30% or more above the original BUY price. "AVERAGE RISK" is a calculation based on the stocks in the current portfolio that are below their original BUY prices adjusted for the long-term record of the portfolio. The higher the risk percentage, the higher is the likelihood that the portfolio's performance will be less than the current "Annualized Return." |
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DISCLAIMERS Information in the ELF Report is based on sources believed to be reliable. Historical figures and projections are not guaranteed, and past performance cannot be used as a predictor of future results. Investigate carefully and make your own responsible decisions before making any investment choices based on the ELF Report's recommendations. Good sources for investigating before you invest can be found on the Stock Picks page as well as at Yahoo and the Wall Street Research Network.
Persons associated with the ELF Report may own securities and/or options of issues described in the Report and may make purchases or sales before or while this Report is in circulation. No person associated with the ELF Report holds a substantial interest in the stock of any company mentioned in the Report or receives any compensation for recommending the purchase or sale of any stock or mutual fund mentioned. As a newsletter publisher, the ELF Report does not manage investments as a registered investment advisor nor does it engaged in the brokerage business; and thus, this newsletter is not an offer to sell or a solicitation of an offer to buy securities.