WEEK OF FEBRUARY 8, 2009

The RINOs Have Their Day 

Perhaps they voted according to the consciences. I am referring to Republican Senators Susan Collins, Olympia Snowe, and Arlen Specter, as they indicated their willingness to support on Friday President Obama’s economic stimulus package, inappropriately titled The American Recovery and Reinvestment Act of 2009. Since I cannot see into their minds, I will give them the benefit of the doubt. The problem, however, is that their consciences violated every Republican Party principle, and the Bill is unlikely to bring about any real or lasting “Recovery”.  

Republican politicians who support legislation calling for vast deficit spending should drop any pretense of being Republican and change their party. Based on the past performances of this trio, the affect on the Republican Party would be minimal. As the old saying goes, “if it walks like a duck, etc.” Bipartisanship is one thing, but driving the country into bankruptcy is another. By the time all is said and done, this Bill will increase the national debt by almost ten percent, and Democratic control of government is just getting started. They must be comfortable knowing that they can count on some weak-kneed Senate RINOs to join them in their journey down to road to European Socialism for America. 

Just a week earlier, Republicans in the House hung together in sending a strong message to the president and the majority congressional leaders that they would have no part in supporting this assault on our economy and limited government. For a brief time, conservatives were proud of this staunch opposition to the government takeover of our society and our economy. 

In just one day, Collins, Snowe, and Specter were able to destroy that euphoria. One can only wonder what their thoughts were as they looked at themselves in the mirror this morning. Republicans across America should join together to make that simple task more difficult for them every day. Not only did they betray their party; they also betrayed America.

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Pump the Volume, Man 

We have all heard it; or at least those of us who have gone through the process of raising teenagers have heard it: “Everyone else is doing it” or, “Everyone else has one.” In the typical teenage mind, these words justify anything and everything. 

My thoughts went back to those magic years of raising teenagers when I heard a man comment on the radio, when asked about President Obama’s Stimulus Bill, with words to the effect that he opposed spending all of that money, but what difference does it make? The Republicans would do the same thing. Whoa, Nelly! As anyone who could score over 40% on the IGI Civics Literacy Test would know, if it were left up to the Republicans, there would not be an $870 billion stimulus bill before Congress right now. It was really this guy’s own way of saying, “Okay, I know I screwed up by voting for Barack Obama, but it’s not my fault. Everyone else I know was doing it.” 

So now we are a nation of excuse-finding teenagers, not old enough, wise enough, nor mature enough to take responsibility for our own actions. The only exception is that group of old, white men who call themselves conservatives and go around preaching what is, to use Obama’s own words, those “tired and worn-out” concepts such as frugality and responsibility.  

So, Man, pump the volume so we don’t have to listen to ‘em, and let’s get it on with some serious music! Like, I won’t be thirty-five forever, you know?

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Sieg Heil, Mein Oberfuhrer! 

Sean Hannity is on a tear this afternoon after learning that the Michigan Democrat Senator Debbie Stabenow, in an on-air interview with liberal talk show host Bill Press, has once again called for hearings on “Fairness Standards” (her term), reinstitution of the “Fairness Doctrine” (neutral term), or “the end of Freedom of Speech in America” (Sean’s term). He invited her to come to the studio and tear out his microphones. Of course, she did not respond, probably out of fear for her life. Sean did provide both her Washington telephone number as well as that of her Michigan office. Apparently, faithful listeners jammed the capital’s phone lines trying to get through to her. 

According to the report at politico.com, the good senator stated that, "Whether it’s called the Fairness Standard (sic), whether it’s called something else – I absolutely think it’s time to be bringing accountability to the airwaves." I would ask the good senator, “accountability to whom?” She went on to say that she "think(s) it’s absolutely time to pass a standard" and indicated that she had "already had some discussions with colleagues" about Fairness "Standard" hearings and that she "feel(s) like that’s gonna happen. Yep."  

Sieg heil , mein oberfuhrer! 

The politico.com article also pointed out that Sen. Stabenow is married to Thomas Athans, the co-founder of the liberal TalkUSA Radio network and now the Executive Vice-President of liberal Air America. No doubt, she is trying to cover all of the bases. What an opportunity for her! 

Long ago I came to the conclusion that those institutions, be they political, religious, or any other, that attempt to stifle dissent of any type, are the possessors of irrational ideologies that cannot in any way be defended against rational, logical, and intelligent arguments. Their leaders live in fear and are victims of a suppressed inferiority complex. This was the case in Nazi Germany and the Soviet Union; the primary goal of Islamic Jihad is to eliminate any opposition to its religious beliefs and agenda; and the Democratic Party is very quickly becoming equally intolerant. Interestingly, followers of these various groups share another commonality—they all believe that their leader is the living reincarnation of their heroes from the past. 

Talk radio and the internet are the lone remaining bastions of conservative thought in America, and I have no doubt whatsoever that if the Left had its way, they would both be eliminated. Since talk radio is the easier target, they will try to silence it first. But as Sean Hannity said, borrowing from the favorite saying of the 2nd Amendment advocates, “They will have to pry the microphone from my cold, dead hands.” 

From time to time, I ask myself if all of the time and effort involved with keeping a conservative website going is worth the few readers that stop by for a visit. Then something like this comes along, and like Sean Hannity, I recommit to putting out the conservative message until my hands can no longer reach the keyboard, then hope that someone else can pick up the banner.

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Is Income Disparity the Cause of Recessions? 

In the past I have described here an ongoing, e-mail based “discussion group” with a small group of my Academy classmates and one or two other interested participants. We discuss a wide range of issues, but tend to focus our attention on either military or political issues. Since all of us have long since left our military careers, the discussion is fairly free-wheeling and we get opinions from people on both sides of the political spectrum. This is not to suggest that it is always a fair fight. Because we are all former members of the military, the conservative opinions outnumber the liberal opinions about two to one. But yet the libs can hold their own quite well. 

A recent article in the Wall Street Journal entitled For 'Fortunate 400,' a Tumbling Tax Rate , by Jesse Drucker, launched a new round of discussion over the country’s current economic situation. The first sentence of Drucker’s article provides a good description of the article’s tenor, “The nation's top 400 taxpayers made more than $263 million on average in 2006, as the stock market was rallying, but paid income taxes at the lowest rate in the 15 years that the Internal Revenue Service has tracked such data, according to figures released Thursday.” The article was sent to members of the group by one of the “left-of-center” members who I will refer to as “Bob” in this piece. In his own words in a follow-up message, he had sent the article out to illustrate the growing disparity between the rich and poor in this country, then asserted that this gap always increases more rapidly immediately preceding an economic recession and provided some examples. This disparity, he implied, is what causes recessions. 

Many of us who hold more conservative opinions saw this as yet another example of the “class-envy” diatribe that we had witnessed during the recent presidential campaign. One of the group members, who I will refer to only as “Ed”, had furnished in his response IRS information pulled from the internet which presented 20 years of data showing the comparative income tax rates that had been paid by the various income level groups. Unfortunately, the last year of data was for 2005. It did, however, clearly illustrate that higher income people pay far more in income taxes and at a much higher rate than those in the lower income brackets. 

What follows is my response to Rob’s assertion that income disparities cause recessions.___________________________________________ 

To All:  

This blurb is in response to Bob’s piece regarding income disparities in America, and the relationship between increasing disparity and recessions. It reflects the thoughts and analysis of a (very) amateur economist who strongly believes in free market capitalism with limited government intervention. 

While Bob was doing his analysis of the IRS data furnished by Ed, I was doing the same, but looking at a wider range of reported results. I only wish that the data that Ed provided had covered the last three years as well, because it might have provided more insight, but I understand why it did not. 

Let me say first that Bob’s findings regarding income disparities were correct, as far as they went, in that there was a increase in the disparity of income between the “top 1%” and the “bottom 99%”. The same is true when you compare the top 5% and 10% with the bottom 95% and 90%, respectively, although the disparities are not as great. In the old days this phenomenon was considered to be part of the reward for competitive risk taking, and was associated with the positive characteristics of hard work, intelligence, incentive and ambition. In our egalitarian, social justice-oriented  society of today (off with their heads!) these traits are not always considered by many to be “good”, especially if their benefits are not distributed around to those who are less generously endowed. Eventually you reach a point where the Marxian philosophy of “from each according to his abilities, to each according to his needs” becomes acceptable, despite history’s clear lesson that this economic maxim has proved to be a colossal failure. 

No economic system is perfect. Free Market Capitalism, as well as Soviet-style Communism and middle-of-the-road European Socialism, all have a cyclical nature. The difference is that Capitalism has been able to provide more prosperity to more people than any of the others. One reason for this is because it includes the least governmental intervention. The common misconception that people who are elected to office (or get there at the point of a gun) somehow have a monopoly on intelligence and wisdom has always gotten societies into trouble, and that is a major part of the problem in the good old U. S. of A. today. As a way of illustration, I would cite the recent pronouncement by House Speaker Nancy Pelosi, who said, "Every month we do not have an economic recovery package, 500 million Americans lose their jobs. I don't think we can go fast enough to stop that" (I don’t think we can, either, since there are only 300 million of us),  or The Anointed One’s campaign statement that he had visited “fifty-seven states.” Also, it was not just the people at the lower part of the economic spectrum that bought into the campaign mantra of “change” and “hope” in the last election without ever inquiring as to what their meanings actually were.  

Where I part company with Bob’s assertions in his previous e-mail is with the causal relationship between disparity in incomes and the occurrence of economic recessions in our history. While there may be a relationship between the two in that the increasing disparity is an indicator that a recession is coming, it is not the cause of the downturn. Therefore slowing the disparity by increasing the top tax rates, for example, would only hasten the onset of a recession as employers, who make up most of higher income people, would seek to make up for the tax increases by cutting costs, which, of course, would include laying people off at a faster rate. It would also slow down investment in new plant and capital, again hastening a recession. 

In my analysis of Ed’s data, I looked at the entire 20-year period for each income group, and arrived at the following summarized results:

Click HERE to view table

What this table shows is that American taxpayers as a whole saw an 174.6% increase in reported income over the 20-year period. Those in the top 10% income bracket had a much larger percent of increase in total reported income (236.6%) than those in the bottom 90% (134.7%). Although tax rates decreased for all categories during the period, the top 10% also had a much larger increase in total income taxes paid (227.5% vs. 68.7%), and a much smaller decrease in their average income tax rates (0.49% vs. 2.77%).  

While these figures can be used by political junkies (like us) on both sides of center to justify our arguments, they do not tell the whole story. For example, they do not take into account the state of the overall economy as measured by the growth of the GDP, the affects of inflation, or the mobility of individuals into and out of the various income categories. They allow only for sweeping generalizations such as you would hear during a presidential campaign. 

Based on data supplied by the Bureau of Economic Analysis and the Department of Labor, I put together a spreadsheet, which can be seen HERE (open at your own risk; it might put you to sleep), that shows the growth of the GDP, personal income in the U.S., and the rates of inflation for the same 20-year period as Ed’s chart covered.  

The spreadsheet shows that our nation’s Gross Domestic Product increased by almost 180% during that 20-year period, an adjusted average increase of over 5% every year, with a high of 7.7% in 1988 to a low of 3.2% in 1991. Similarly, unadjusted Personal Income across the board rose by just over 175%. During that time, the average annual inflation rate was 2.7%. After adjusting Personal Income by the amount of inflation, as reflected in the Consumer Price Indexes, it shows that Americans’ “Buying Power” rose by 166.5% for the entire period, an average of 5.2% per year.  

The data shows that the U.S. has seen prosperity over that period of time. Unfortunately, most Americans’ memories, and those of our elected officials as well, go no further back than the last episode of American Idol. If the numbers for 2006, 2007, and 2008 had been included in the data, the overall changes in the results would be barely noticeable, since the economic downturn that was taking place in 2008 would be minimized by the overall positive numbers from 2006 and 2007, when the economy was slowing somewhat but nowhere near the state of recession that it is in now. 

The lower you stand in the economic categories, the more likely it is that your income is derived solely through wages/salary. Conversely, the higher you go, the more likely it is that greater parts of your income are derived from investments in stocks and other securities, or from entrepreneurial profits. Therefore, during good times, it is only logical that income disparities will increase. These increasing disparities do not in themselves cause the next  recession, but rather it is caused by some other event, such as a high rate of mortgage foreclosures brought about by government programs that encourage people to buy homes that they can not afford. ‘Nuff said. 

If anyone is interested in reading more about these issues, check out:

Capital and Income in Democratic Socialism
DW MacKenzie
SUNY Plattsburgh
resubmitted to The Review of Political Economy
Last revised May 15th 2007

Just make sure to have plenty of coffee or No-Doz available if you are not a grad-school econ professor..RETURN TO ARCHIVES  LIST                                                        RETURN TO HOME PAGE