Chinagate
is growing to such magnitudes so quickly that it may actually overwhelm both
the Clinton Hedony and abort the Gore administration before it is even
conceived.
I
haven't discussed this nearly as much as I could have because if I had, I'd
have talked about nothing else for months.
I've only touched on the highlights from time to time. It just so happens that this week was full
of them.
Gore,
heretofore an innocent bystander to his boss's scandal tides, was buried by
this latest one. It turns out that Mr.
Bill, in trademark Clinton SOP, masterminded the sprawling Democrat fundraising
racket while keeping it all at a discreet distance (to lessen his own legal exposure,
of course). Therefore, he needed a
left-hand man (hey, we ARE talking about DEMOCRATS) who would lead the charge
for him. And none other than Prince
Albert was the choice.
Fat
Albert attacked the task with a will.
He set up an entire network of solicitation and money-laundering that
sucked in over $40 million, and which was operated from federal property
(including Gore's West Wing office), using government phone banks and
government employees. He was so adamant
and blunt in his hustling that even Dem donors say they found his tactics
heavy-handed and inappropriate.
"Shakedown" has been a frequently used term. He even earned the nickname "solicitor-in-chief"
at the DNC. And much of it was a
flagrant violation of the Hatch Act, each violation punishable by, among other
things, up to three years in federal prison.
That Buddhist Temple fundraiser was but the tip of a very putrid
iceberg.
Fellow
Dems Robert Torricelli and Henry "Nostrildamus" Waxman tried to make
their respective hay off of Gore's woes (Waxman by the comical insistence that
Dan Quayle be hauled back out of mothballs and flogged some more) as their
colleagues continued to insist upon shifting the focus of investigations to the
Republican side. But this time the
diversionary tactics didn't take, as
Newsweek magazine quoted ex-White House
counsel Abner Mikva as warning in a 1995 memo that any fundraising of the type
engaged in by the DNC and Clinton-Gore '96 was "illegal." It was quickly decided that Gore go before
the microphones and perform one of Clinton's patented mea culpas.
BIG
mistake. Bubba could have not only
gotten himself off the hook, but picked the pockets of the assembled reporters
while he was at it. The Tennessee 2x4
came off sounding like any of us would have sounded in that position: a lying, scheming crook. "I did not do anything wrong, much less
illegal" decayed into "Everything I did, I understood to be lawful,"
which melted down to "I'm proud of what I did, and I'll never do it
again," and finally ended with "I'm not subject to legal
restrictions." So; there it
is. Al Gore, a Big Mac away from the
Big Chair, filled to bursting with excuses that Newt Gingrich couldn't get away
with (and for HIM they were TRUE) reveals himself to bear the same tyrannical attitude
as his superior: "I am above the
law."
So well
did the Veep do that Clinton had to rush to the rescue only three days
later. Thing is, he didn't do much
better. Despite the fawning press
reports of the prez being "relaxed and resolute," Clinton's defense
of Gore and Maggie Williams (Hillary's chief squaw, who also broke the law by
accepting a $50,000 campaign check right smack in the White House itself) was
rambling, convoluted, and well-nigh incomprehensible. And he was uncharacteristically fidgety and plainly uncomfortable
throughout, as though he had the nervous complaint or something - and in a
press conference, where he is usually in his element. Truly a sight to behold.
I said
a week ago that Bill Clinton is in big, big trouble on this scandal, and now
his heir has been pulled down as well.
William Safire synopsized it beautifully when he wrote in the New
York Times that "The `high crime' of Watergate was Nixon's abuse of
his White House power to affect his 1972 re-election. That same offense - the Clinton-Gore White House's abusing
presidential power to unfairly influence their 1996 re-election - is at the
heart of today's campaign scandal."
This one ain't going away, folks, and will only get worse.
So here
is a preview, offered without time specifications, but with resolute
confidence:
-Al
Gore's massive implication in Chinagate is intolerably close to Clinton
himself. Mr. Bill has never been loyal
to anybody in his life, and he's not about to go down at his sidekick's side. So mark down Al Gore's David Watkins-style
resignation (i.e. Willie announces it before the public's AND Gore's very eyes)
from the vice-presidency as pick #1.
-Pick
#2: Clinton nominates California Senator Dianne Feinstein as Gore's successor,
and Feinstein is whisked through Senate confirmation. It makes perfect sense: DiFi is a woman; she's reliably liberal
but isn't saddled with a Barbara Boxer-like reputation as a flake; she has both
substance and prior executive experience as mayor of San Diego; AND she's from
California. In other words, she would
be as strong a designated Clinton successor as Gore would be a liability. And the Republicans would be so utterly
terrified of the prospect of running against a woman in 2000 that they might
not even field a candidate.
-Pick
#3: Chinagate, like Watergate did for the Democrats in 1974, produces big GOP
congressional gains in 1998 despite the majority's intellectual indolence. But...
-Pick
#4: Clinton's masterstroke of replacing Gore with Feinstein knocks them back
onto the defensive, and ends any lingering chances of his impeachment.
If I
had to give Mr. Bill one piece of honest advice, that'd be it. Time will tell if he takes it.
~ ~ ~
Meanwhile,
under the bed, the Republican majority waits and wonders if the other side will
EVER run out of blanks. "Nasty
stuff, those blanks" said one shell-shocked pachyderm.
Not
much is happening in the 105th Congress.
Of course, after the heady early days of the 104th, anything would look
like a leisurely mosey; but something must be wrong if even genteel GOP
moderates are getting antsy.
Antsy? Somnolent would be more
accurate.
There
are lots of different explanatory spins.
One is that ever since Speaker Gingrich took a "lower profile"
fifteen months ago, the power has returned to the committees, where hours can
seem like years and glaciers can become a blur. Another is that Republicans are in no hurry because they're no
longer afraid of being thrown out (notice I didn't say "no longer afraid
of losing CONTROL; the GOP hasn't been in control of Congress ever since Newt
was wounded). And a third is that
Republicans, after the flaying they took last year, are loathe to do anything
to divert the media's attention from Clinton's neoWatergate troubles.
The
above is what the GOP leadership says.
House Majority Leader Dick Armey assures his colleagues that over the
next few months, "the floor schedule will build to a crescendo of progress
on America's agenda." Problem is
that he doesn't say what that agenda is.
And that reticence is what is so troubling to those of us in the
grassroots, who sit in bewildered amazement as the majority pushes through a
$2.7 billion tax INCREASE for the Airport Trust Fund. Definitely not a promising harbinger of things to come.
About
the only thing of any significance on the GOP's plate was the Balanced Budget
Amendment, which, with the two-seat pickup in the Senate, was supposed to be a
slam-dunk. But as documented in this
space last week, the White House "miraculously" managed to pull
enough Dem senators back to bring the measure one vote short of passage - for
the third consecutive Congress.
This
latest defeat itself was wholly unremarkable - as I also said last week, only
290 Republicans in the House and 67 in the Senate will ever pass the BBA - nor
were the by-now tried & true scaremongering tactics the minority used to
stop it. But it was the GOP reaction
that was little short of flabbergasting.
They
were surprised; they were "stung."
It was as if they endured the past year of stinking abuse all for the
sake of realizing this lone dream - which they thought they WOULD realize. And denied yet again, they finally awakened
to the embarrassment they hadn't previously acknowledged - and then magnified
it by going on a sustained whining binge.
Belated
vows to attack Clinton's budget (which doesn't come close to balancing, BTW,
according to either CBO or the Heritage Foundation - where have these people
BEEN?); Orrin Hatch waving it in Senate floor debate alongside a towering mound
of past federal budgets; Trent Lott and Newt Gingrich huffing and puffing for
the cameras. Oh, the shame of it.
This,
then, is the wages of fear and timidity and a needless year-plus retreat and the
deliberate choice of fighting battles you don't flee on the enemy's turf: your
only significant agenda item crashed & burned, your best and strongest
issues (taxes cuts, immigration reform, ending racial preferences) abandoned,
impotence in the face of crippling opposition scandals, and the Chief Miscreant
himself gloating by calling on you to join him in "passing a plan to
balance the budget by 2002 while protecting our values, strengthening
education, and providing targeted tax relief to working families. It's time to do the REAL work of balancing
the budget."
What
Republicans should do is piss in Clinton's face, kill his budget dead as a
smelt, quickly pass one of their own on the model of the FY 1996 version that
Clinton signed, and carry the fight to the aforementioned issues where he and
his party are far more vulnerable. What
they're going to do, after this past weekend's mortifying House encounter
session/inner-child search/navel contemplation seminar/"civility
fest" in Hershey, Pennsylvania (Are rapists and their victims ever sent
off together to "work through their problems"?), is as the Speaker
announced this week: serve as a glorified rubber stamp for Sick Willie.
If the
GOP isn't afraid of losing the House in 1998, it's a miracle, because they're
afraid of everything else.