Tuesday, May 06, 2008
Clinton Wins Indiana
On the basis of exit polls at CNN, I found that Hillary Clinton has won Indiana by a 52-47% margin over Barack Obama. I used an average of three exit polls to come to this conclusion: religion, education level, and whether or not Jeremiah Wright is important. I note that whether Jeremiah Wright is important shows a much smaller edge for Clinton: 47-46%. Note also that these are exit polls, and they have proven wrong on occasion; for example they suggested Clinton by 4 points in Pennsylvania, but she won by 9 instead.
This will not affect delegate totals much. At most, Hillary gains 4-5 delegates, and Obama marches about 50 or so delegates closer to the magic 2,025 delegates total.
I do have concern about the importance of Jeremiah Wright. The media have blown up entirely too much, when literally the viability of the entirety of human civilization is riding on the line. He is absolutely not important at all, not even if he were Barack's minister. My views are not all the same as my two ministers', and the same is true for Barack and everybody else. I call on the media to lay off this Wright bit, now!
This will not affect delegate totals much. At most, Hillary gains 4-5 delegates, and Obama marches about 50 or so delegates closer to the magic 2,025 delegates total.
I do have concern about the importance of Jeremiah Wright. The media have blown up entirely too much, when literally the viability of the entirety of human civilization is riding on the line. He is absolutely not important at all, not even if he were Barack's minister. My views are not all the same as my two ministers', and the same is true for Barack and everybody else. I call on the media to lay off this Wright bit, now!
