Tuesday, May 06, 2008

 

Obama wins North Carolina

CNN has projected Obama the winner in North Carolina. I used three exit polls (qualified to be commander in chief, importance of Rev. Wright, and church attendance) to obtain an average projection of 50.6% for Obama, 38.9% for Clinton, and 2.7% no preference. So Obama gets more out of North Carolina than Hillary out of Indiana, in state margins, popular votes and delegates, although Obama's edge will gain only a little. But still, he gets about 70 votes out of North Carolina closer to 2025. He now should be within 150 of that goal, but the remaining states don't have enough votes to carry him over. If Democrats put more importance on Jeremiah Wright than on pledged delegate totals, the result could be a knock-down dragout fight at the Democratic Convention.

Comments: Post a Comment

<< Home

This page is powered by Blogger. Isn't yours?