There are many sites out there listing simple odds and statistics for poker. I couldn't find one that told me all of the stuff I wanted to know, so I wrote a program to calculate stuff for me. All calculations on this page relate to Texas Hold'em.
In Hold'em, there are:
A bit more on the 7,462 truly unique 5-card hands (taking the best 5 out of your 7 cards). How does that break down?
So, if you take the 7,462 unique hands, each can be assigned a point value from 1 through 7,462. That means that 5-4-3-2-A unsuited (the lowest straight) is only 1 point better than A-A-A-K-Q (the highest Three of a Kind). I bring that up because that's one of the keys to my calculations below.
Let's say it's down to you and one other player. You have the big stack. You are first in the betting and have absolutely no clue what your opponent holds. Should you go all-in?
In order to calculate this, I iterated over all possible flops. For each of those possible flops, I iterated over each possible hand your opponent could have from the remaining cards. I compared each of those to the hand you'd have and figured whether you won, lost, or tied. In all, that's just over two billion different possibilities for each of the hole card combinations you can have. (With a Pentium4, each of these takes about 3.5 hours to run).
| Rank | Hole Cards | Combos | Hands You Win | Hands You Lose | Hands You Tie | Hands You Don't Lose (Win + Tie) | ||||
| 1 | A-A | 6 | 1,718,508,418 | 84.93% | 304,661,670 | 14.52% | 11,402,312 | 0.54% | 1,792,910,730 | 85.48% |
| 2 | K-K | 6 | 1,722,470,558 | 82.12% | 363,424,882 | 17.33% | 11,676,960 | 0.56% | 1,734,147,518 | 82.67% |
| 3 | Q-Q | 6 | 1,670,338,644 | 79.63% | 414,934,680 | 19.78% | 12,299,076 | 0.59% | 1,682,637,720 | 80.22% |
| 4 | J-J | 6 | 1,618,339,604 | 77.15% | 465,955,440 | 22.21% | 13,277,356 | 0.63% | 1,631,616,960 | 77.79% |
| 5 | 10-10 | 6 | 1,566,053,110 | 74.66% | 516,772,724 | 24.64% | 14,746,566 | 0.70% | 1,580,799,676 | 75.36% |
| 6 | 9-9 | 6 | 1,503,238,936 | 71.67% | 577,905,278 | 27.55% | 16,428,186 | 0.78% | 1,519,667,122 | 72.45% |
| 7 | 8-8 | 6 | 1,441,396,848 | 68.72% | 637,479,762 | 30.39% | 18,695,790 | 0.89% | 1,460,092,638 | 69.61% |
| 8 | A-K suited | 4 | 1,389,004,215 | 66.22% | 673,957,209 | 32.13% | 34.620,976 | 1.65% | 1,423,625,191 | 67.87% |
| 9 | A-Q suited | 4 | 1,370,002,117 | 65.31% | 690,016,869 | 32.90% | 37,553,414 | 1.79% | 1,407,555,531 | 67.10% |
| 10 | 7-7 | 6 | 1,378,636,878 | 65.73% | 697,512,212 | 33.25% | 21,423,310 | 1.02% | 1,400,060,188 | 66.75% |
| 11 | A-J suited | 4 | 1,350,786,717 | 64.40% | 705,041,543 | 33.61% | 41,744,140 | 1.99% | 1,392,530,857 | 66.39% |
| 12 | A-K off-suit | 12 | 1,352,291,878 | 64.47% | 709,592,683 | 33.83% | 35,687,839 | 1.70% | 1,387,979,717 | 66.17% |
| 13 | A-10 suited | 4 | 1,331,725,962 | 63.49% | 719,134,692 | 34.28% | 46,711,746 | 2.23% | 1,378,437,708 | 65.72% |
| 14 | A-Q off-suit | 12 | 1,332,142,795 | 63.51% | 726,706,236 | 34.65% | 38,723,369 | 1.85% | 1,370,866,164 | 65.35% |
| 15 | A-J off-suit | 12 | 1,309,720,573 | 62.54% | 742,722,264 | 35.41% | 43,129,563 | 2.06% | 1,354,850,136 | 64.59% |
| 16 | K-Q suited | 4 | 1,309,061,790 | 62.41% | 746,895,468 | 35.61% | 41,615,142 | 1.98% | 1,350,676,932 | 64.39% |
| 17 | A-9 suited | 4 | 1,290,209,940 | 61.51% | 754,019,509 | 35.95% | 53,342,951 | 2.54% | 1,343,552,891 | 64.05% |
| 18 | A-10 off-suit | 12 | 1,291,435,142 | 61.57% | 757,743,309 | 36.12% | 48,393,949 | 2.31% | 1,339,829,091 | 63.88% |
| 19 | 6-6 | 6 | 1,315,178,390 | 62.70% | 757,863,966 | 36.13% | 24,530,044 | 1.17% | 1,339,708,434 | 63.87% |
| 20 | K-J suited | 4 | 1,289,515,286 | 61.48% | 762,297,170 | 36.34% | 45,759,944 | 2.18% | 1,335,275,230 | 63.66% |
| 21 | K-10 suited | 4 | 1,270,857,555 | 60.59% | 776,310,470 | 37.01% | 50,404,375 | 2.40% | 1,321,261,930 | 62.99% |
| 22 | A-7 suited | 4 | 1,245,678,450 | 59.39% | 784,885,484 | 37.42% | 67,008,466 | 3.19% | 1,312,686,916 | 62.58% |
| 23 | A-5 suited | 4 | 1,217,936,943 | 58.06% | 801,655,845 | 38.22% | 77,979,612 | 3.72% | 1,295,916,555 | 61.78% |
| 24 | A-6 suited | 4 | 1,220,344,506 | 58.18% | 804,780,676 | 38.37% | 72,447,218 | 3.45% | 1,292,791,724 | 61.63% |
| 25 | Q-J suited | 4 | 1,239,054,394 | 59.07% | 808,665,883 | 38.55% | 49.852,123 | 2.38% | 1,288,906,517 | 61.45% |
| 26 | A-8 off-suit | 12 | 1,224,440,175 | 58.37% | 810,270,096 | 38.63% | 62,862,129 | 3.00% | 1,287,302,304 | 61.37% |
| 27 | 5-5 | 6 | 1,250,992,922 | 59.64% | 817,847,556 | 38.99% | 28,731,922 | 1.37% | 1,279,724,844 | 61.01% |
| 28 | A-4 suited | 4 | 1,198,506,708 | 57.14% | 819,532,598 | 39.07% | 79,533,094 | 3.79% | 1,278,039,802 | 60.93% |
| 29 | A-3 suited | 4 | 1,181,668,536 | 56.34% | 836,814,184 | 39.89% | 79,089,680 | 3.77% | 1,260,758,216 | 60.11% |
| 30 | A-2 suited | 4 | 1,164,284,001 | 55.51% | 854,728,551 | 40.75% | 78,559,848 | 3.75% | 1,242,843,849 | 59.25% |
| 31 | J-10 suited | 4 | 1,177,887,186 | 56.15% | 862,082,680 | 41.10% | 57,602,534 | 2.75% | 1,235,489,720 | 58.90% |
| 32 | 4-4 | 6 | 1,180,021,110 | 56.26% | 885,403,592 | 42.21% | 32,147,698 | 1.53% | 1,212,168,808 | 57.79% |
| 33 | 10-9 suited | 4 | 1,098,642,842 | 52.38% | 929,682,183 | 44.32% | 69,247,375 | 3.30% | 1,167,890,217 | 55.68% |
| 34 | 3-3 | 6 | 1,108,341,244 | 52.84% | 953,411,342 | 45.45% | 35,819,814 | 1.71% | 1,114,161,058 | 54.55% |
| 35 | 9-8 suited | 4 | 1,024,795,719 | 48.86% | 991,202,871 | 47.25% | 81,573,810 | 3.89% | 1,106,369,529 | 52.75% |
| 36 | 2-2 | 6 | 1,035,889,822 | 49.39% | 1,021,877,238 | 48.72% | 39,805,340 | 1.90% | 1,075,695,162 | 51.28% |
| ? | A-8 suited | 4 | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? |
| ? | K-9 suited | 4 | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? |
| ? | K-8 suited | 4 | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? |
| ? | K-7 suited | 4 | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? |
| ? | K-6 suited | 4 | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? |
| ? | K-5 suited | 4 | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? |
| ? | K-4 suited | 4 | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? |
| ? | K-3 suited | 4 | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? |
| ? | K-2 suited | 4 | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? |
| ? | Q-10 suited | 4 | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? |
| ? | Q-9 suited | 4 | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? |
| ? | Q-8 suited | 4 | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? |
| ? | Q-7 suited | 4 | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? |
| ? | Q-6 suited | 4 | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? |
| ? | Q-5 suited | 4 | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? |
| ? | Q-4 suited | 4 | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? |
| ? | Q-3 suited | 4 | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? |
| ? | Q-2 suited | 4 | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? |
| ? | J-9 suited | 4 | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? |
| ? | J-8 suited | 4 | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? |
| ? | J-7 suited | 4 | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? |
| ? | J-6 suited | 4 | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? |
| ? | J-5 suited | 4 | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? |
| ? | J-4 suited | 4 | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? |
| ? | J-3 suited | 4 | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? |
| ? | J-2 suited | 4 | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? |
| ? | 10-8 suited | 4 | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? |
| ? | 10-7 suited | 4 | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? |
| ? | 10-6 suited | 4 | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? |
| ? | 10-5 suited | 4 | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? |
| ? | 10-4 suited | 4 | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? |
| ? | 10-3 suited | 4 | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? |
| ? | 10-2 suited | 4 | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? |
| ? | 9-7 suited | 4 | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? |
| ? | 9-6 suited | 4 | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? |
| ? | 9-5 suited | 4 | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? |
| ? | 9-4 suited | 4 | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? |
| ? | 9-3 suited | 4 | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? |
| ? | 9-2 suited | 4 | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? |
| ? | 8-7 suited | 4 | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? |
| ? | 8-6 suited | 4 | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? |
| ? | 8-5 suited | 4 | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? |
| ? | 8-4 suited | 4 | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? |
| ? | 8-3 suited | 4 | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? |
| ? | 8-2 suited | 4 | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? |
| ? | 7-6 suited | 4 | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? |
| ? | 7-5 suited | 4 | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? |
| ? | 7-4 suited | 4 | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? |
| ? | 7-3 suited | 4 | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? |
| ? | 7-2 suited | 4 | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? |
| ? | 6-5 suited | 4 | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? |
| ? | 6-4 suited | 4 | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? |
| ? | 6-3 suited | 4 | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? |
| ? | 6-2 suited | 4 | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? |
| ? | 5-4 suited | 4 | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? |
| ? | 5-3 suited | 4 | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? |
| ? | 5-2 suited | 4 | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? |
| ? | 4-3 suited | 4 | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? |
| ? | 4-2 suited | 4 | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? |
| ? | 3-2 suited | 4 | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? |
| ? | A-9 off-suit | 12 | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? |
| ? | A-7 off-suit | 12 | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? |
| ? | A-6 off-suit | 12 | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? |
| ? | A-5 off-suit | 12 | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? |
| ? | A-4 off-suit | 12 | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? |
| ? | A-3 off-suit | 12 | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? |
| ? | A-2 off-suit | 12 | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? |
| ? | K-Q off-suit | 12 | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? |
| ? | K-J off-suit | 12 | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? |
| ? | K-10 off-suit | 12 | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? |
| ? | K-9 off-suit | 12 | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? |
| ? | K-8 off-suit | 12 | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? |
| ? | K-7 off-suit | 12 | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? |
| ? | K-6 off-suit | 12 | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? |
| ? | K-5 off-suit | 12 | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? |
| ? | K-4 off-suit | 12 | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? |
| ? | K-3 off-suit | 12 | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? |
| ? | K-2 off-suit | 12 | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? |
| ? | Q-J off-suit | 12 | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? |
| ? | Q-10 off-suit | 12 | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? |
| ? | Q-9 off-suit | 12 | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? |
| ? | Q-8 off-suit | 12 | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? |
| ? | Q-7 off-suit | 12 | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? |
| ? | Q-6 off-suit | 12 | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? |
| ? | Q-5 off-suit | 12 | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? |
| ? | Q-4 off-suit | 12 | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? |
| ? | Q-3 off-suit | 12 | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? |
| ? | Q-2 off-suit | 12 | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? |
| ? | J-10 off-suit | 12 | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? |
| ? | J-9 off-suit | 12 | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? |
| ? | J-8 off-suit | 12 | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? |
| ? | J-7 off-suit | 12 | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? |
| ? | J-6 off-suit | 12 | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? |
| ? | J-5 off-suit | 12 | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? |
| ? | J-4 off-suit | 12 | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? |
| ? | J-3 off-suit | 12 | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? |
| ? | J-2 off-suit | 12 | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? |
| ? | 10-9 off-suit | 12 | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? |
| ? | 10-8 off-suit | 12 | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? |
| ? | 10-7 off-suit | 12 | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? |
| ? | 10-6 off-suit | 12 | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? |
| ? | 10-5 off-suit | 12 | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? |
| ? | 10-4 off-suit | 12 | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? |
| ? | 10-3 off-suit | 12 | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? |
| ? | 10-2 off-suit | 12 | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? |
| ? | 9-8 off-suit | 12 | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? |
| ? | 9-7 off-suit | 12 | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? |
| ? | 9-6 off-suit | 12 | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? |
| ? | 9-5 off-suit | 12 | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? |
| ? | 9-4 off-suit | 12 | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? |
| ? | 9-3 off-suit | 12 | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? |
| ? | 9-2 off-suit | 12 | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? |
| ? | 8-7 off-suit | 12 | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? |
| ? | 8-6 off-suit | 12 | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? |
| ? | 8-5 off-suit | 12 | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? |
| ? | 8-4 off-suit | 12 | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? |
| ? | 8-3 off-suit | 12 | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? |
| ? | 8-2 off-suit | 12 | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? |
| ? | 7-6 off-suit | 12 | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? |
| ? | 7-5 off-suit | 12 | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? |
| ? | 7-4 off-suit | 12 | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? |
| ? | 7-3 off-suit | 12 | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? |
| ? | 7-2 off-suit | 12 | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? |
| ? | 6-5 off-suit | 12 | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? |
| ? | 6-4 off-suit | 12 | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? |
| ? | 6-3 off-suit | 12 | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? |
| ? | 6-2 off-suit | 12 | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? |
| ? | 5-4 off-suit | 12 | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? |
| ? | 5-3 off-suit | 12 | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? |
| ? | 5-2 off-suit | 12 | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? |
| ? | 4-3 off-suit | 12 | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? |
| ? | 4-2 off-suit | 12 | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? |
| ? | 3-2 off-suit | 12 | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? |