2014  PREDICTED  RANKINGS
EW Expected number of Wins based on predicted average MOV and percent chance of each game victory.
EL Expected number of Losses based on same above.
SOS Strength of Schedule average of opponent Power rating adjusted for home/away.
Power Power rating of team beginning of the season for game predictions.
WLRtg Won Lost Rating of expected team record vs Strength of Schedule.
Hybrid Combination of Power and WLRtg for predicted end of season ranking.
                       
  FCS  RANK EW EL SOS rank Power rank WLRtg rank Hybrid
   
1 North Dakota State 10.39 1.61 60.48 9 82.85 2 88.48 1 85.67
2 Eastern Illinois 10.63 1.37 56.05 27 84.44 1 84.05 2 84.24
3 SE Louisiana 10.45 1.55 51.68 51 75.68 3 79.68 4 77.68
4 Northern Iowa 8.60 3.40 62.45 4 72.09 5 81.12 3 76.61
5 Eastern Washington 9.66 2.34 53.38 42 72.28 4 76.71 8 74.50
6 Richmond 9.40 2.60 53.39 41 68.18 9 76.72 7 72.45
7 Villanova 8.95 3.05 55.22 31 70.77 6 73.89 13 72.33
8 Jacksonville State 7.66 3.34 59.58 11 66.97 11 77.39 6 72.18
9 South Dakota State 7.65 4.35 63.63 3 65.88 14 77.63 5 71.75
10 Southern Illinois 7.86 4.14 61.11 7 66.87 12 75.11 11 70.99
11 Cal Poly 9.27 2.73 52.57 45 65.71 15 75.91 10 70.81
12 New Hampshire 8.25 2.75 53.19 43 69.92 7 71.01 15 70.47
13 Central Arkansas 8.59 3.41 56.44 24 65.32 17 75.10 12 70.21
14 Coastal Carolina 9.76 2.24 48.33 68 61.36 23 76.33 9 68.84
15 Montana 8.20 3.80 55.65 30 66.50 13 69.65 16 68.08
16 Towson 8.86 3.14 50.60 58 65.44 16 69.27 18 67.35
17 Fordham 10.06 1.94 42.22 93 68.27 8 65.56 22 66.91
18 Princeton 9.00 1.00 37.70 111 67.96 10 65.70 21 66.83
19 McNeese State 7.60 3.40 54.24 37 59.88 26 72.06 14 65.97
20 Liberty 8.21 3.79 52.01 48 63.68 18 66.01 20 64.85
21 Sacred Heart 9.33 1.67 41.44 96 60.22 25 69.44 17 64.83
22 Tennessee State 8.79 3.21 48.28 69 60.64 24 66.94 19 63.79
23 Chattanooga 8.07 3.93 51.22 55 62.17 22 65.22 23 63.70
24 Missouri State 5.94 6.06 62.39 5 63.37 20 62.39 27 62.88
25 Western Illinois 6.01 5.99 62.09 6 63.51 19 62.09 28 62.80
26 William & Mary 6.78 5.22 57.31 20 62.31 21 61.98 29 62.14
27 South Carolina State 8.77 3.23 44.86 80 57.57 33 63.53 24 60.55
28 Furman 7.19 4.81 53.81 39 56.86 35 63.14 25 60.00
29 Bethune-Cookman 9.10 2.90 40.54 101 59.03 29 59.20 33 59.12
30 Sacramento State 7.25 4.75 51.77 49 56.25 39 61.11 30 58.68
31 Alcorn State 10.19 1.81 34.70 117 54.03 43 62.70 26 58.36
32 Portland State 5.99 6.01 57.06 22 58.44 30 57.06 37 57.75
33 Tennessee-Martin 5.82 6.18 58.37 17 56.67 36 58.37 34 57.52
34 Northwestern State 5.80 6.20 58.05 18 56.48 37 58.05 35 57.27
35 Maine 5.95 5.05 53.64 40 57.91 31 56.18 40 57.04
36 Harvard 7.19 2.81 42.50 90 54.74 42 59.30 32 57.02
37 Charlotte 7.82 3.18 42.90 89 52.76 51 60.72 31 56.74
38 Samford 6.50 4.50 49.96 59 54.85 41 57.60 36 56.22
39 Montana State 6.19 5.81 55.18 32 57.14 34 55.18 48 56.16
40 Youngstown State 5.48 6.52 59.07 14 57.81 32 54.40 54 56.11
41 Eastern Kentucky 6.78 5.22 51.04 57 56.44 38 55.70 45 56.07
42 South Dakota 4.11 7.89 65.85 2 59.70 27 51.85 56 55.77
43 Illinois State 4.87 6.13 59.43 13 59.64 28 51.80 58 55.72
44 Idaho State 5.75 6.25 56.38 26 53.76 46 56.38 38 55.07
45 Dartmouth 6.43 3.57 44.66 84 54.02 44 55.86 43 54.94
46 Stony Brook 6.62 5.38 51.11 56 53.21 47 55.78 44 54.49
47 Charleston Southern 6.57 5.43 51.36 53 52.83 50 56.03 41 54.43
48 Lamar 7.48 4.52 45.36 76 53.21 48 54.69 52 53.95
49 Sam Houston State 5.45 6.55 56.50 23 55.91 40 51.84 57 53.87
50 Northern Arizona 6.38 5.62 51.61 52 50.72 58 56.28 39 53.50
51 Yale 6.42 3.58 44.35 86 51.35 56 55.55 46 53.45
52 Stephen F Austin 5.84 6.16 54.77 35 51.08 57 54.77 51 52.92
53 James Madison 5.34 6.66 55.81 29 53.92 45 51.15 61 52.53
54 Gardner-Webb 6.77 5.23 46.86 74 52.67 52 51.53 59 52.10
55 Drake 7.88 3.12 38.05 109 48.02 67 55.86 42 51.94
56 Prairie View 6.93 3.07 38.70 107 48.26 65 55.50 47 51.88
57 Bucknell 7.03 3.97 42.29 91 48.20 66 55.02 49 51.61
58 Lafayette 6.50 4.50 44.77 82 50.31 59 52.40 55 51.36
59 Delaware 5.37 6.63 54.89 34 51.77 53 50.22 62 51.00
60 Howard 7.77 4.23 40.61 100 46.08 71 54.61 53 50.35
61 Alabama State 7.65 4.35 40.04 103 50.19 60 49.37 63 49.78
62 Duquesne 7.82 4.18 40.78 99 44.73 78 54.78 50 49.76
63 Western Carolina 5.70 6.30 51.23 54 47.83 68 51.23 60 49.53
64 Tennessee Tech 4.86 7.14 55.06 33 52.92 49 45.73 69 49.32
65 Mercer 7.66 4.34 39.40 106 48.26 64 48.73 65 48.50
66 Indiana State 2.55 9.45 65.86 1 51.41 55 42.52 75 46.96
67 Southern Utah 3.34 8.66 60.95 8 51.56 54 42.28 76 46.92
68 San Diego 6.59 4.41 41.15 97 45.02 76 48.78 64 46.90
69 Wofford 5.16 5.84 48.84 63 47.36 69 46.29 68 46.82
70 Jacksonville 7.24 3.76 35.14 116 44.81 77 47.87 66 46.34
71 SE Missouri State 4.16 7.84 54.75 36 50.11 61 40.75 79 45.43
72 UC-Davis 3.07 7.93 59.73 10 48.50 63 41.91 77 45.21
73 Jackson State 7.35 4.65 37.77 110 41.79 83 47.11 67 44.45
74 Monmouth 5.91 5.09 41.02 98 44.65 79 43.56 74 44.11
75 Marist 6.65 4.35 36.82 113 42.82 81 44.46 73 43.64
76 Hampton 5.02 6.98 49.60 60 41.42 85 44.93 70 43.18
77 St Francis-PA 5.63 5.37 42.24 92 41.41 86 44.79 71 43.10
78 North Carolina A&T 6.53 5.47 39.83 104 40.67 88 44.50 72 42.59
79 Brown 5.11 4.89 41.82 94 43.13 80 41.82 78 42.48
80 Nicholls State 3.22 8.78 57.38 19 46.14 70 38.71 82 42.43
81 Murray State 4.08 7.92 51.73 50 45.31 74 37.73 87 41.52
82 Holy Cross 5.26 6.74 45.03 79 42.00 82 40.36 80 41.18
83 The Citadel 3.01 8.99 56.41 25 48.62 62 33.08 99 40.85
84 Elon 2.62 9.38 59.51 12 45.20 75 36.18 91 40.69
85 Albany 4.53 7.47 49.60 61 40.65 89 40.27 81 40.46
86 Abilene Christian 4.30 7.70 48.78 64 45.48 73 34.78 95 40.13
87 Incarnate Word 3.56 8.44 52.49 46 45.95 72 33.82 98 39.89
88 Weber State 2.93 9.07 57.10 21 40.78 87 38.44 83 39.61
89 Morgan State 5.39 6.61 41.79 95 41.50 84 37.12 89 39.31
90 Pennsylvania 3.53 6.47 49.09 62 40.37 90 37.89 86 39.13
91 Bryant 4.45 6.55 45.88 75 39.71 91 38.24 84 38.97
92 Norfolk State 4.42 7.58 46.91 73 38.46 95 37.58 88 38.02
93 Lehigh 3.74 7.26 47.97 70 38.05 96 35.24 92 36.65
94 Central Connecticut 4.73 7.27 43.98 87 38.64 92 34.65 97 36.65
95 Butler 5.70 5.30 35.56 115 34.88 102 38.11 85 36.49
96 Presbyterian 2.27 8.73 55.90 28 38.50 94 32.99 100 35.75
97 Northern Colorado 2.73 8.27 52.76 44 36.32 99 34.94 94 35.63
98 Southern U 5.26 6.74 39.74 105 36.08 101 35.07 93 35.58
99 Dayton 6.04 4.96 32.17 121 36.22 100 34.72 96 35.47
100 Delaware State 4.07 7.93 44.85 81 38.62 93 30.85 101 34.73
101 Texas Southern 5.70 5.30 33.75 119 32.20 106 36.30 90 34.25
102 North Dakota 2.49 9.51 54.11 38 36.88 98 30.77 102 33.82
103 Colgate 3.32 8.68 48.37 67 37.74 97 29.70 105 33.72
104 Austin Peay 1.41 10.59 58.65 15 34.31 103 30.65 103 32.48
105 Rhode Island 1.36 10.64 58.48 16 33.38 105 30.48 104 31.93
106 Arkansas-Pine Bluff 4.50 6.50 36.91 112 32.06 107 29.27 106 30.67
107 V M I 2.11 9.89 52.34 47 31.25 109 29.01 107 30.13
108 Alabama A&M 4.08 7.92 40.35 102 33.65 104 26.35 110 30.00
109 NC Central 2.90 9.10 47.64 71 29.56 112 28.97 108 29.27
110 Campbell 5.33 6.67 32.25 120 30.73 110 27.59 109 29.16
111 Florida A&M 2.28 9.72 48.59 66 28.55 114 25.26 111 26.90
112 Georgetown 2.49 8.51 44.63 85 31.32 108 21.72 116 26.52
113 Houston Baptist 2.32 8.68 45.22 77 29.21 113 22.31 113 25.76
114 Wagner 3.19 7.81 38.61 108 29.92 111 20.79 117 25.36
115 Cornell 2.14 7.86 44.76 83 27.89 115 22.36 112 25.13
116 Grambling 2.36 9.64 45.09 78 27.87 116 21.76 115 24.82
117 Stetson 4.69 7.31 31.43 123 27.12 117 22.10 114 24.61
118 Savannah State 1.29 10.71 47.62 72 22.20 120 19.62 119 20.91
119 Robert Morris 1.75 9.25 43.11 88 25.87 118 15.11 121 20.49
120 Morehead State 2.93 9.07 36.30 114 19.86 121 17.63 120 18.75
121 Mississippi Valley 2.62 8.38 34.43 118 24.34 119 11.52 123 17.93
122 Columbia 0.57 9.43 48.77 65 11.51 124 20.77 118 16.14
123 Valparaiso 2.93 9.07 31.63 122 14.75 122 12.97 122 13.86
124 Davidson 2.33 9.67 30.87 124 11.67 123 7.53 124 9.60