The Logistics of UFO Abduction

The Logistics of UFO Abduction

Field Investigation Coordinator, Minnesota MUFON

While at the 1998 MUFON UFO symposium I attended Professor David Jacobs’ excellent lecture entitled “Thinking Clearly about UFO Abduction". In it, Dr. Jacobs continued many of the themes presented in his book “The Threat”. It is his contention that the UFO/CE4 phenomenon is focused entirely on the genetic exploitation of humanity. He further states that this program is truly massive. In this article, I would like to examine the scope of this phenomenon, as Dr. Jacobs envisions it, and see just how truly massive it must be, and what the alternative scenarios are.

In his presentation, Dr. Jacobs indicated that the UFO abduction program has been steadily expanding throughout recent history. He calculates the beginning of the program to have been in about the 1890's. He bases this on the fact that the experience follows the entire family line, not just selected siblings within the family. Thus, by tracking the families involved, he works backward to conclude that the program began about 100 or so years ago. Therefore, far from being with us throughout human history, the phenomenon as he envisions it, is actually relatively recent. He also states that this is a purely “nuts and bolts” phenomenon - using technology which, although advanced, in principle is understandable.

Dr. Jacobs offers some figures which suggest the magnitude of the phenomenon. According to several different sources, about two percent of the present population is abductees. For each abductee he claims that there are about two hundred abductions in a lifetime(!). These events occur over a time span of about 50 years, beginning almost at birth. (Note: I will be "conservative" and suggest 100 events, resulting in two experiences per year.) From these figures alone we can calculate the apparent scale of the phenomenon.

The Air Traffic Control Problem:

Two percent of the population of the United States of America, each experiencing two events per year gives us about 4 events per hundred people per year. Dividing this number by 365 days per year gives slightly more than one abduction per ten thousand people per 24 hour period. In the twin cities metro area there are approximately 2 million people. To sustain this rate of abduction events we need to have: two million people X 1 event per 10 thousand people per day, yielding about 200 events per 24 hour period.

Let's arbitrarily assume that one UFO flight is required to perform 10 abductions. This could reduce the number of UFO flights to 20 per night, but still implies that the twin cities' skies should be pretty busy with UFOs.

Let’s further assume that this rate of 1abduction per 10,000 people per night applies worldwide. We know that there are about 6 billion people in the world. We can therefore calculate that there are 6 billion X 1 abduction per 10,000 persons per night = 600 thousand abductions per night. If we again assume about 10 abductions per UFO flight, we would need 60 thousand UFO flights per night, every night, to sustain the global UFO abduction program.

These numbers reveal what I refer to as the “Air Traffic Control Problem”. In order to coordinate such a massive abduction program - and even to simply prevent UFOs from running into each other – some sort of significant ET air traffic control system would be required.

What the Numbers Tell Us

Based upon the above calculations, we can draw some further conclusions about the “massive-nuts-and-bolts abduction paradigm. The first thing we note that there would have to be many thousands of UFOs in the air, on the ground, or in near-Earth space at any given time. To estimate just what kind of a support effort this would require, let’s make the (very human) assumption that these UFOs would also need some sort of ground crew to perform maintenance. If we assume 10 ET's per UFO, as support crew, we end up with hundreds of thousands of ET’s. This would require a base or mother ship, which would presumably be massive - difficult to conceal.

The numbers imply that unless this vast ET infrastructure exists to support the rate of UFO flights, one or more of the following must be true:

1) Each abductee has far fewer experiences than Dr. Jacobs claims.

2) The number of abductees is far less than the assumed two percent.

3) UFOs are able escape detection except on very rare occasions. This would imply that they had some visual and radar evasion technology, not an unreasonable supposition given our present stealth technology.

4) A large fraction of abductions are nonphysical, thus not requiring a physical UFO visit. This would argue (at least in part) against a physical nuts-and-bolts nature of UFO abduction, and would imply that it is in some way less material. Many abduction researchers strongly consider this hypothesis. Dr. Jacobs, however, does not.

If Dr. Jacobs is correct, and our original assumptions are valid, then the abduction program would appear to be the primary purpose of the responsible ET civilization. The scale of the effort would appear to be comparable to a major global military effort such as the United States undertook during World War II. This would imply that its successful completion must be of tremendous urgency to them. If this is not the case, then at least one of the alternatives must be true, suggesting that we know far less about the phenomenon than Dr. Jacobs indicates. Given the scenario portrayed in “The Threat”, I truly hope that the latter is the case.