After a while growing his new thornless plants, the gardener notices that
they get eaten by bugs a lot more than the original thorny ones. He wonders
why. Let's take a look at what happened. (Unless the gardener lived very
recently, there'd be no way for him to figure this out.)
Like most plants, the gardener's initial thorny plants produced an insecticide
to deter bugs from eating them. They did so by a short pathway consisting
of two workers. The thorny plants had a variety of alleles for these
workers, most of which were good -- natural selection has worked for a long
time selecting for plants that could fight off bugs -- but a few bad
alleles persisted:
This diagram is a bit more complex than the last few, since we want to
show two traits and two sets of Instructions: those for the number of
thorns, which the gardener was selecting for, and those for
insect-resistance, which he wasn't worrying about at the time. The
plants are now color-coded for how well they resist bugs, and their
insecticide-maker Instructions are color-coded to match. The plants'
thorn-count Instructions are also shown, still color-coded for how
many thorns they make, and the plants show the number of thorns they
have.
The gardener selected the two plants with the fewest thorns and bred
them:
Although these plants still have some good alleles for their
insecticide-maker Instructions, they don't have as many as the
previous generation, and many display poorer insect resistance. This
wasn't the gardener's intention, of course, but wasn't avoidable,
since he bred only the least thorny plants he had.
Two generations later, the breeder produced the first two thornless
plants. Their insect resistance is a mixed bag: one is still making
reasonably good insecticide workers (next to left), but the other one
isn't doing well at all (rightmost):
Since all the thornless plants descend from these two plants, let's
take a look at their offspring:
Some of these plants still have fairly good insect resistance, but some don't.
Although there are still a few good alleles for insecticide-makers around,
many poor ones are present, as they haven't been selected against.
This tendency for good alleles to be lost due to successive selections from
a small population of living things is called inbreeding depression,
and is a common risk in all artificial selection breeding programs.
Another point to note: during the period of selecting for thornless
plants, no mutations occurred to create worse alleles of the
insecticide-maker Instructions. It's certainly possible that they
might have, which would have led to even worse alleles for this trait
in the generation shown above. The effect seen thus far is simply due
to lack of selection for one trait while strong selection was applied
to another.
This is the generation in which the gardener noticed that his thornless
plants were being eaten by bugs. The second example looks at his
attempt to breed better insect resistance back into his plants.
The gardener chooses the plants that have the best insect resistance, and
lets them breed. He has several to chose from, so we'll only show
the offspring from one pair. This doesn't matter that much, since the
most resistant ones are all but identical in their resistance alleles.
Selection has improved this generation a little compared to the previous
one. Still, a number of bad alleles for insect resistance are present,
and reducing their numbers will take time. A single good mutation for
one of the insecticide-makers has shown up in the rightmost plant (better
allele in the top Instruction Book, left hand page), but due to the other
alleles in the plant, the effect isn't yet visible. Still, since this plant
is among the most resistant in this generation, the breeder will let it
pass its Instructions on to future generations, where the new, better allele
can be selected for:
The gardener again selects the two most insect-resistant plants and breeds
them:
At this point, unless there's another beneficial mutation, there's
nothing more the gardener can do to improve the insect resistance of
his plants. He's selected for the plants with the best traits he can
find. Note that these plants don't breed true for insect resistance
as they do for thornlessness. Some of their offspring are carriers for less-resistant
recessive alleles. Eliminating these by selection is all but
impossible (since all the plants look alike), so in every generation
a few plants will be eaten by bugs. (And of course, if the
gardener wasn't careful, he may have inadvertently let another trait
get worse.)
I created this example using a simple simulation of how Instructions
change during selection. It doesn't quite show what I wanted, but I've
decided to leave it as is, as that very fact demonstrates one of the problems
with artificial selection: even under the best of circumstances, relying on
chance to produce good results isn't perfect.
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Modern breeding programs (early 20th century and later) are much more
sophisticated than the examples we gave here. Usually, rather than working
on small numbers of organisms, they attempt to improve large populations of plants and animals
at once. This allows modern breeders to rapidly improve traits,
while preventing useful traits from being lost. On
the other hand, the problems these programs are trying to solve are usually
harder than either of the ones shown in the examples: they often try
to select for traits
produced by many Instructions and try to produce traits that
previous generations of breeding couldn't produce, like animal feeds
that reduce manure production, or plants that are very tolerant of
salty fields. Nonetheless, modern breeding can't get around the basic
problems of artificial selection.
While some improvement in traits can be achieved simply by
selecting for desired traits in an existing population, we sometimes have
to wait for mutations to create traits we want. Since mutation is random,
we may have to breed plants and animals for a long time before we see a trait
we want. Keep in mind that we shortened the examples by skipping generations
where nothing happened, and assumed a rate of mutation much higher than
normal. In real life, germline mutations producing visible new traits -- both
good and bad and both desirable and undesirable -- occur in about one
in a million individuals. Even where good alleles are available for
a trait we want, distributing them in a population without increasing
the proportion of other bad alleles or lowering overall genetic diversity
requires many generations.
Selecting for several new traits at once is often hard because
mutations producing new traits are very rare. It's sometimes even
difficult to select for a single new trait while preserving existing
desirable traits, as sometimes the new beneficial trait occurs in an
organism that has less-desirable alleles. Modern plant and animal
breeders sometimes try to increase mutation rates by treating
organisms with mutagens; this helps some, but
doesn't entirely solve the problem.
Sometimes, artificial selection produces bad traits, as breeders
deliberately tolerate losing one good trait in order to choose another,
with the hope of recovering the first trait later. The rarity of new
traits encourages this. Occasionally, bad traits slip in undetected,
either because they were masked by dominant alleles, or because nobody
thought to look for them -- the latter is especially true with traits
we now want that were lost to historical breeding.
Over the last several thousand years, people have used artificial
selection to produce plants and animals with many traits they wanted,
like high-yielding grains and docile domestic animals. However,
during this time, they lost some desirable traits we now want. Pet
lovers know two of the best examples: Persian cats tend to be deaf and
Golden Retrievers often have hip problems; both of these traits were
produced accidentally via artificial selection. It's also possible
that people allowed bad traits to slip into crop plants: some species
of crop plants are less insect and disease resistant than their wild
relatives. It's not clear that the people selecting for traits
throughout history could have done much about this. Since they had no
knowledge of chemistry or biology, there's no way they could have
known that plants actively fight off insects and pests. It's also possible
that the plants they started with simply lacked the desirable traits.
There's one subtle drawback to artificial selection: it's not possible
to select for or against things that aren't visible. Since artificial
selection relies on random mutation to produce new visible
traits, it also suffers from mutations producing new invisible
traits, like new allergens. Even today, new allergens and poisons
occasionally appear in food as a result of artificial selection.
One effect of artificial selection has been to exaggerate the differences between Instruction
Books within a species. Artificial
selection has produced several distinct Instruction Books for each
species it's modified; depending on the type of organism, these kinds
of Books are called lines, breeds, or varieties.
(The terms mean essentially the same thing, but "breed" is usually used
for animals and "variety" is usually used for plants.)
For example, there are several breeds of dogs: German Shepherds,
Golden Retrievers, poodles, and many more. They were bred for
different traits, like helping with the hunt or looking
cute. Organisms within a variety have Instruction Books that are more
similar to each other than they are to Books in organisms in different
varieties of the same species. Of course, even within a variety, the
organisms differ somewhat due to mutation, and even between varieties,
organisms of the same species are more similar to each other than they
are to organisms of different species. That is, two German Shepherds
are more alike than a German Shepherd and a Golden Retriever, and a
German Shepherd and a Golden Retriever are more alike than a German
Shepherd and a fox.
Varieties' different traits breed true only if both parents come from
the same variety. The if the parents are of different varieties, the
offspring receive two slightly different Instruction Books, and often
display traits different from either parent. These offspring are
called hybrids and their traits are often "better" in some way
than that of either parent. For example, many corn hybrids produce
more corn and resist disease better than either parent.
Unfortunately, hybrids themselves don't breed true, because their
Instruction Books have differing alleles for many Instructions.
Despite the limitations of artificial selection, until recently it's
all we had. All crops and domestic animals are the result of mass
breeding over thousands of years. (Most garden plants have been
artificially selected for prettier flowers, too). Even "organic"
crops result from the same thousands of years of artificial selection;
wild plants simply don't produce enough food to support large human
populations. (There are some exceptions: some "wild rice" harvested
is in fact wild, and in many parts of the world, people hunt game
animals or catch wild fish for food.)
We just said that artificial selection was all we had "until
recently". In the last few decades, people have developed a
new technique called genetic engineering.
Genetic engineering addresses many of the limitations of mass
breeding.
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