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Let's take a closer look at how the population of mice might adapt to
live in their new environment.
Although the mice all look pretty much alike:
they have a variety of traits and alleles for tolerating capsaicin,
ranging from no tolerance whatsoever to a moderate degree of
tolerance. None are particularly good at it. The mice have a
two-step pathway for breaking down capsaicin, much like the way we
break down alcohol. (In real life, the two workers that are breaking
down capsaicin probably do other jobs in the mice. However, calling
them "workers that can break down capsaicin but really do other things
better" is clumsy, so we'll just call them "capsaicin-detoxifying
workers".)
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To provide a simple measure of how well the mice are doing in their
new home, let's color-code the mice and their Instruction Books on a
red-to-green scale to indicate how well they deal with capsaicin. The mice's
Instruction Books are color coded to show how well each of the two
workers produced by the Instructions can do this job. The mice
themselves are color-coded for their capsaicin-tolerance trait, which
is produced by the interactions among the two pairs of Instructions
found in their two sets of Instruction Books.
In real life, workers' specificities alone don't determine how
well they deal with poisons. How good their promoters are at getting
them made at the right time also matters. We'll assume that the
Instructions are already turned on by digestion, so the promoters are
adequate.
Also, while the mice are shown with a just single pair of Instruction
Books, each of their millions of cells has its own copies. We're showing
just the Books in the mice's germ line, since those are
the ones that might get passed on to offspring. Barring
point mutations all the copies
are the same.
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Most of the mice don't have good traits, and so don't cope well. Some
(shown in red) become very sick from eating the food in the warehouse.
Some may die, and they are very unlikely to produce offspring. A few
mice (shown in yellow) can tolerate capsaicin ok. They won't do especially
well, but they're very likely to live long enough to produce children. Most
of the mice are in between: coping poorly. They'll probably each have
a child or two.
Let's see what happens to the mice as they live in the warehouse.
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In order to simplify the example, we'll assume that other Instructions
don't matter very much to the mice's survival. In real life, this is
rarely true. We'll also assume that the alleles for capsaicin
tolerance are simply Mendelian: the better one
determines the phenotype. This is
reasonable, since many real poison-tolerance Instructions work this
way.
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After several generations, the warehouse mouse population has grown a
little. The slow growth reflects little selective fitness for the warehouse
environment: under ideal conditions, mouse populations can more than
double in a single generation. Since the mice with the best traits
have each had a few more offspring over the generations, there are
more mice with their good alleles (and generally good traits). Still,
none of the mice do particularly well in this environment, so all of
the alleles and traits are still around. Indeed, many mice have bad
alleles, and occasionally one is born with both of the worst alleles.
Even though the mice are not doing well at the moment, their future is not
entirely bleak. One mouse in the generation shown had a mutation in one of his
capsaicin-detoxifying-worker Instructions that lets it work better. In
turn, this better worker gives the mouse a slightly better phenotype, so
it can tolerate its food better. With luck, its improved health may
increase the chances it will find a mate, and pass on this new Instruction.
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Bad mutations are also
occurring. These slow population growth and keep bad alleles in
circulation. Note that the rate of mutations that produce visible
changes is always very low. Despite the passing of many generations
of mice, only a single advantageous mutation has occurred.
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Indeed, the mouse with the best allele does find a mate: another mouse
that is doing pretty well (shown in yellow near the center of the previous
picture). They have six offspring, whose traits and Instructions are shown.
Each child receives a set of Instruction Books from its parents, and
these Instruction Books have recombined, so the children's alleles
aren't usually the same as either parent's. However, since the two
Instructions for breaking down capsaicin are close together in the
mice's Instruction Books, recombination during meiosis doesn't always shuffle them
randomly. In this case, they're so close that the alleles have a 60% chance
to stay together, rather than a 50% chance. This means that a child mouse is
more likely than not to inherit an Instruction Book like one of its
parents. For example, one of the right-hand parent's Instruction
Books contains a pretty good allele for the first
capsaicin-detoxifying worker (in yellow-green) and a middling-bad one
for the second one (in orange). The 60% linkage between the two of
them causes them to be passed on together more often than not, so the
middling-bad allele tends to stay in circulation more than would be
expected from its selective disadvantage alone. This sort of linkage
between alleles is called genetic linkage, and it is one reason
that bad alleles persist in populations.
Looking closely at the offspring, we see that most of them have
reasonably good capsaicin tolerance, since the new, better allele dominates the older,
less-capable ones. We also note that the presence of a single good
Instruction does not make a good mouse. The child mouse in the center
of the picture inherited one of the best available Instructions, but
shows only average overall capsaicin tolerance because neither of its
Instructions for the other worker are very good.
Let's let many generations pass before taking another look at the warehouse
mice.
The combination of the better allele and the passage of time has
allowed the mouse population to start to grow rapidly. And not only
has the population grown, but the proportion of mice with the better
allele has grown as well. Whereas the better allele was originally found in
just a single mouse, then in four of its children, now most of the
mice have a copy. Still, a number of worse alleles persist, usually
hidden by the better
dominant alleles. These worse alleles do sometimes occur
together, producing mice that don't do well. For instance, the mouse
in the upper right-hand corner doesn't tolerate capsaicin very well,
despite the presence of the better allele, since both of the other
Instructions for the other worker needed to break down capsaicin
aren't very good at all. |
Two curious things have happened in this generation, both good.
First, the next-to-worst allele for the second
capsaicin-detoxification worker has disappeared from the population.
(It was previously shown in dark orange.) No mouse that had that
allele in the previous generation managed to reproduce, so the allele
is gone.
Second, a new allele for the second capsaicin-detoxification worker
has appeared (in the top center mouse). Exon shuffling combined one of
these alleles with a piece of another Instruction, and this new
Instruction produces a worker that's better than any of the others.
Now, the mouse population has good alleles for both workers needed to
break down capsaicin. Let's see what effect this has.
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While the allele lost in the example wasn't very good, any allele
could have gotten lost. In general, the smaller the population, the
more likely an allele is to be lost, as not all members of the
population will reproduce. This tendency of alleles to disappear is
part of why small populations go extinct. Small populations usually
don't go extinct because the members are physically unable to find
each other to reproduce. Instead, the population loses too many
valuable alleles, and is unable to cope with even small changes to its
environment.
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Like most mice in this generation, the mouse with the new allele is
able to find a mate and reproduce. Its mate happens to have one of
the good alleles for the first capsaicin-detoxifying worker
Instruction. Since most mice in this generation have at least one
good allele for this Instruction, this isn't unusual. These mice
produce five offspring, which get an assortment of their parents'
Instructions by recombination.
Two of the children inherited both of the good alleles, giving them an
interesting trait -- they're better at coping with capsaicin
than either of their parents. These mice have very little problem
eating capsaicin-spiced food, and so are likely to grow up healthy and
have many offspring. Some of their offspring may be similarly
healthy, depending on recombination and their other parent's
Instructions. Note, however, that one of these mice, despite having
the best-available phenotype, still carries one of the worse alleles,
so that allele will survive into another generation.
At this point, the population of warehouse mice is likely to expand rapidly
until it meets another selective pressure.
There are three things to note about the example as a whole:
First, not all selective pressures are lethal. While many of the mice
with the worst traits did die, most of the bad alleles diminished because
mice that had them didn't have as many children as mice that had better ones.
Second, the traits produced by natural selection are not perfect. The
capsaicin-detoxifying workers the mice have are pretty good, but not
the best possible. While better ones could evolve by future rounds of
mutation, they probably won't provide much selective advantage over
the current ones, so their Instructions won't necessarily be inherited
by a large proportion of future mice. (This happens with human
traits, too: despite millennia of walking upright, people still
develop back problems.) Good enough suffices for natural
selection.
Third, natural selection can't eliminate all the bad alleles from a population.
Both genetic linkage of bad alleles to good ones and the masking of bad
recessive alleles by better dominant ones tends to keep a few copies of bad
alleles circulating in a population.
Another point to keep in mind is that the mutations that produce better
traits are random. It's certainly possible that if we were to take ten
populations of mice and put them in ten similar new environments, none of
them would acquire advantageous mutations -- indeed, the very Instructions
they need to adapt might get worse through mutation -- and
they'd all die out. This doesn't make an interesting example, though.
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At the start of the example, we assumed that no other Instructions mattered
to the mice's survival. What has happened to these other Instructions
which haven't been under any selective pressure? Let's take a look at
one of these Instructions: one that produces a worker that regulates how
much fat the mice store. In the wild, storing fat is useful not only because
wild animals may eat infrequently, but also because fat is a good insulator
against cold. In our population of mice, there's a single Instruction
that regulates fat storage. It's Mendelian, with Instructions for workers
increasing the amount of fat dominating those that would store less fat.
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In this example, the fat-regulator Instruction is so close to the first
capsaicin-detoxifier Instruction that it's entirely linked to it. This
doesn't change the results significantly from what they'd be if the Instructions weren't closely linked.
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The initial population of mice probably had pretty good alleles for
their fat storage Instruction. Here's our initial population of mice
again, with color added to show their fat-regulator Instructions (in the lower
left corner of each of their Instruction Books). The mice are still
color-coded for capsaicin tolerance, as are their capsaicin-detoxifier
Instructions, but their fat-regulator Instructions are color coded for
how good they are in the wild.
Now, let's change the mice's color-code so that it shows how good the mice
are at storing fat:
So the initial population generally had good Instructions and good phenotypes
for storing fat. This isn't surprising, since mice that didn't make workers
to store a lot of fat were likely to be killed off or weakened by famine, and
thus not have a lot of children. A few worse fat-regulator alleles are still
around, but the better alleles are so common that the mice generally don't
have problems storing fat.
Now, we'll skip ahead to the last generation of mice we looked at. Here they
are, color-coded to show that they've been selected for good capsaicin tolerance.
However, when we look at them color-coded for fat regulation, we see a different story:
We see that the fraction of good traits is smaller, and the proportion
of the good alleles for fat regulation has declined. There are
two reasons for this. First and most importantly, the mice's
capsaicin tolerance determined which ones would reproduce most, not
their fat regulation. So, the mice that had better capsaicin
tolerance passed on their fat-regulator Instructions regardless of
how much fat they stored. Second, mutations continue in all
the mice's Instructions. Regardless of whether a mutation made a
fat-regulator Instruction better or worse, it was likely to be passed
on as long as the mouse it was in had good capsaicin
tolerance. The lack of selective pressure for storing fat let
the distribution of the mice's alleles for fat regulation become
uniform (just as many bad alleles as good ones) since
nothing was removing bad alleles, or encouraging the spread of better
ones.
If our population of warehouse mice should return to their original
environment where fat-regulation matters, they'll once again be
subject to selective pressure eliminating mice that don't cope well
with scarce food. How the mice will rise to that challenge isn't
certain: mice with the best remaining fat-regulator alleles may do
well; mice that store seeds instead of fat may do well; or they all
may perish. Time will tell.
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Natural Selection in Miniature
Natural selection works just the same in plants and bacteria as it does in animals. Bacteria
act like very small animals, with three exceptions. First, they can
acquire new Instructions (and therefore new traits) by conjugation. Second, they don't make new
Instructions by exon
shuffling. Third, since they're prokaryotes, they have only a
single copy of their Instruction Book, so they're more vulnerable to
mutation changing an Instruction badly. On balance, though, bacteria
seem to be more robust than animals at evolving.
Make Shade, not War
Natural selection works on plants by selecting for a very different
set of traits than it does for animals. Since plants can't move, they
repel animals that try to eat them with poisons rather than trying to
flee. They also have to find mates by very different methods: some
plants disperse pollen in the wind, others rely on animals to spread
their pollen. Reproduction by seeds also allows some plants to
survive droughts by waiting before sprouting. Another major
difference is that plants feed on light, so they "fight" other plants
for food by trying to get more light, which they can do by growing
faster or taller (for example). Since plants can't move out of
sunlight, they suffer many more point mutations (caused by UV light)
than animals do. As a result, they have more sophisticated mechanisms
for coping with mutations than animals. Specifically, plants tend to
shuffle exons frequently to produce new Instructions and, hopefully,
new useful traits.
Due to the random nature of natural selection, it's really possible to
see how living things evolved only in retrospect. The mice in the warehouse
have no idea why they survive, or whether they'll be exposed to capsaicin
long enough for mutation to produce new traits to cope with
it. Only people, looking back through history, can say, "These mice
evolved different workers to cope with capsaicin." Since nobody can see
the future, and what selective pressures it might apply, it's not
possible to say that a particular organism is evolving by natural
selection in a particular direction. This limitation is in direct
contrast to the goals of artificial selection.
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