A fatality rate is an incidence
rate calculated as:
Number of participant deaths in the activity per
period
________________________________
Total participants engaged in the activity per period
A participant in "the activity" can consider
this rate as a representation of risk should they choose to engage in
"the activity." The 'per period' is commonly a year but is
arbitrary, and can be defined for any set period: month, year, decade etc.
In 2000, the US
Department of Transportation estimates fatality rates at 22 automobile
related deaths
/100,000 licensed drivers or 2.2/10,000. However, the DOT table
also shows that driver deaths is ~ 26,000/191M licensed drivers or
1.36 driver deaths /10,000 licensed drivers. DAN estimates diving
fatalities at ~ 1.1 DAN member diving deaths /10,000 DAN members.
If we assume and compare:
|
drivers in fatal automobile accidents are licensed |
All DAN member divers in fatal diving accidents are
certified |
|
All licensed drivers drive |
All DAN members dive |
|
drivers killed were actually driving at time of
accident [ e.g. not passengers or pedestrians] |
DAN member divers killed were diving at time of
accident [ e.g. not passengers on boat] |
Then, there is a similar fatality rate for US auto
licensees and DAN members, as they are measured in a comparable way.
|
Another study viewed
safety through another index, which is deaths per number of dives.
2002/06/29 - Dangers of scuba diving
in B.C.
Brian Morton
Vancouver Sun
Saturday, June 29, 2002
About
two out of every 100,000 recreational scuba divers are killed in diving accidents in B.C.,
according to a groundbreaking study by the Underwater Council of B.C. "It's
impossible to say whether [the death rate] is low or high, because this is the first study
of its kind," UCBC president Tom Beasley said Friday. "But what's important is
the fact that we established a methodology for doing this not only for here but for
elsewhere in the world. "This study is the first concrete attempt by any jurisdiction
in the world to capture the level of diving activity and, as a result, measure the
relative risk of sport diving. We hope that the study will be copied by other
jurisdictions around the world, giving comparative measures of diving risk in different
regions and underwater conditions. It's amazing to me that the dive industry has not
undertaken a similar analysis to date." Called the Abacus Project, the study counted
recreational air fills as a measure of diving activity in B.C. between October 1999 and
November 2000.
The project was started as a result of a 1997
inquest into a triple scuba fatality in West Vancouver. The coroner's jury recommended
that UCBC review and monitor diving practices in B.C. and set up a mechanism for
collecting statistical information on dives. According to the
report, there were three fatalities in 146,291 fills, or 2.05 deaths per 100,000 dives,
in the study period. As well, there were 14 incidences of decompression illness, which
includes decompression sickness [commonly referred to as the bends] and lung
over-expansion injuries [commonly referred to as arterial gas embolism or air embolism],
in the 146,291 dives, or 9.57 per 100,000 dives. The project
counted the number of scuba tanks that were filled for use in recreational scuba diving.
The number was used as an estimate of diving activity. "Three deaths are too many for
me," added Beasley. "But I think this establishes that it [diving] is not as
high risk as outsiders may presume. What is also important for me is the fact that I had
no idea there are a minimum of 10,000 dives in B.C. per month." Dan Orr of Divers
Alert Network also praised the study. "The Abacus Project has established a baseline
for estimating the risk for recreational diving in British Columbia. This is the first
time a reliable method has been used to track recreational diving activity in a specific
geographic area over an extended time period." The study was presented Friday to the
Undersea and Hyperbaric Medicine Society's Annual Scientific Conference in San Diego,
California. Beasley said the study is not perfect, because 35 per cent of the provincial
fill stations didn't participate. "There is no valid way to estimate how many fills
were done by the stations that did not report," noted the report. As well, only
incidents that ended in a fatality or hyperbaric chamber treatment were included.
"Injuries that went untreated or were treated without use of a chamber were not
included." The report notes that it would be beneficial if similar studies were
conducted in places like the Cayman Islands or Australia's Great Barrier Reef, so that
questions surrounding the risk associated with warm water versus cold water diving could
be answered.
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