The U.S. and France have agreed on something for once: a ceasefire agreement between Israel and Hezbollah. The agreement provides plenty of things Israel is interested in, including an international force in the buffer zone. One long-term worry for Israel is in a number of places the agreement gives authority to the Lebanon state, including this: "there will be no weapons or authority in Lebanon other than that of the Lebanese state." This makes sense, of course, in many ways. But--prediction time--Hezbollah will work to take control of the Lebanon state. In fact, they were already doing that before the current war started. This is worth a longer post at some point but it's difficult to envision any long term scenario in which the state of Israel is not doomed (You're such an optimist--Sam. That's me!--Floyd)