The Singularity Institue has posted videos from their recent conference, including Brad Templeton's talk on self-driving cars. Templeton calls AI for self-driving cars not Artificial General Intelligence but Artificial Horse Intelligence. The general consensus of the speech is that the technology will be possible by 2020, longer than what I have been predicting but still not that long from now. The big news of the talk is the X-Prize folks are looking at establishing a prize around self-driving car technology. This may be what is needed to get to the next level of self-driving car technology.