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TEXAS SHARPSHOOTER FALLACY

he Texas sharpshooter fallacy is a logical fallacy where a cluster of statistically non-significant data is taken from its context, and therefore incorrectly believed to have a common cause. The name comes from a story about a Texan who fires his gun randomly at the side of a barn, and then paints a target centered on the largest cluster of hits. The fallacy is closely related to the clustering illusion, which refers to the tendency in human cognition to interpret patterns in randomness where none actually exist.









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