Winds at Bellingham Cold Storage  Ft Ebey (Whidbey) sf♥  RASP   ♥bl
Real Time Soundings MAPS vs RUC2 ⊕ Bham Obs     TI Fire Winds
♦   Winds Aloft   ♦     Visible Satellite Forecast Discussion♣Fraser Valley
Blanchard Digital ♥  My Wx Widget Wind Map now, Quick Windcast
♦ Quick Radar ♥   9 Mesonet stations at once  WA Meso Stations map MesoW GoogleMaps aprs current Personal Wx Stations NWS Seattle
Blanchard: If the prevailing wind is more North than 212° (SSW), launch and LZ likely NW (see a map).   For South wind, terrain often adds some SE at launch. This page reassembled every 10 minutes. Last assembly:  Fri, Jul 25 5:51PM PDT.    Use the refresh button to force a refresh.
Below is the 60+ hour ETA MOS Forecast — winds only (speed:knots) Click here for full GFS/ETA/NGM forecasts for KBLI. Last checked Jul 25 at 8:33AM PDT
KBLI ETA MOS GUIDANCE 7/25/2008 5:00 AM PDT Model Run
HR11AM2PM5PM8PM11PM2AM5AM8AM11AM2PM5PM8PM11PM2AM5AM8AM11AM2PM5PM11PM5AM
WDR
WSP8775756910765434578896
Below is the 24 hour LAMP Forecast — winds only. Click here for complete LAMP forecast for KBLI last accessed Jul 25 at 5:35PM PDT
KBLI BELLINGHAM GFS LAMP GUIDANCE 7/26/2008 5:00 PM PDT Model Run
Hour 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10PM 11PM 12AM 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10AM 11AM 12PM 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM
WDR
WSP1010101010 9 8 6 5 5 5 5 5 5 6 7 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 7 6
Obs as of 17:47PM PDT — StationTime Speed DirectionGusts
Abbotsford airport 5:00 PM 14mph / 6m/s SW
Bellingham Airport 4:53 PM 10mph / 5m/s S
N Bham Bay--Marietta 5:22 PM 16mph / 7m/s SE
Burlington Airport 5:30 PM 6mph / 3m/s SW
Padilla Bay NERRS 5:30 PM 8mph / 4m/s W 11mph / 5m/s
Lookout Mt. MF Nooksack 4980 ft 5:00 PM 3mph / 2m/s SW 6mph / 3m/s
Sumas Mt USA 3200 5:09 PM 3mph / 1m/s NE 8mph / 4m/s
West Church Ridge US 3000ft 4:49 PM 1mph / 0m/s N 9mph / 4m/s
VE7RVA Sumas Mt BC aprs Station 17:47PDT 5mph 13mph
Smith Island 5:00 PM 17mph / 8m/s SW 18mph / 8m/s
***********
Winds atBellingham Cold Storage
5:48p 12.0 mph WSW
5:46p 11.0 mph WSW
5:44p 14.0 mph W
5:43p 12.0 mph WSW
5:41p 14.0 mph W
5:40p 10.0 mph WSW
5:38p 14.0 mph WSW
5:37p 11.0 mph WSW
5:35p 11.0 mph WSW
5:34p 11.0 mph WSW
5:33p 11.0 mph WSW
5:31p 13.0 mph WSW
5:29p 7.0 mph WSW
5:28p 14.0 mph WSW
5:26p 14.0 mph W
5:25p 13.0 mph W
5:23p 16.0 mph W
5:22p 13.0 mph W
5:21p 16.0 mph W
5:19p 16.0 mph W
5:18p 14.0 mph W
5:16p 11.0 mph W
5:14p 14.0 mph W
5:13p 12.0 mph WSW
5:11p 9.0 mph WSW
5:10p 12.0 mph W
5:09p 14.0 mph W
5:07p 9.0 mph WSW
5:05p 9.0 mph WSW
5:04p 12.0 mph WSW
5:03p 12.0 mph WSW
5:01p 15.0 mph WSW
4:59p 10.0 mph WSW
4:58p 8.0 mph WSW
4:56p 7.0 mph WSW
4:55p 13.0 mph WSW
4:53p 11.0 mph WSW
4:52p 12.0 mph WSW
4:51p 11.0 mph WSW
4:49p 11.0 mph WSW
4:48p 13.0 mph WSW
4:46p 9.0 mph WSW
4:44p 14.0 mph WSW
4:43p 12.0 mph WSW
4:41p 11.0 mph W
4:40p 10.0 mph WSW
4:38p 14.0 mph SW
4:37p 14.0 mph WSW
4:35p 18.0 mph WSW
4:34p 15.0 mph WSW
4:32p 10.0 mph SW
4:31p 16.0 mph WSW
4:29p 15.0 mph WSW
4:28p 14.0 mph SW
4:26p 13.0 mph WSW
4:25p 13.0 mph W
4:23p 19.0 mph WSW
4:22p 15.0 mph WSW
4:20p 16.0 mph WSW
4:19p 21.0 mph WSW
4:17p 18.0 mph WSW
4:15p 14.0 mph WSW
4:14p 18.0 mph WSW
4:12p 17.0 mph WSW
4:11p 12.0 mph WSW
4:09p 11.0 mph WSW
4:08p 8.0 mph WSW
4:07p 7.0 mph S
4:05p 14.0 mph WSW
4:04p 17.0 mph WSW
4:02p 18.0 mph WSW
4:00p 12.0 mph SW
3:59p 19.0 mph WSW
3:57p 10.0 mph WSW
3:56p 16.0 mph WSW
3:54p 12.0 mph WSW
3:53p 14.0 mph WSW
3:51p 15.0 mph WSW
3:50p 10.0 mph SSE
3:49p 9.0 mph WSW
3:47p 12.0 mph WSW
3:45p 14.0 mph WSW
3:44p 16.0 mph WSW
3:42p 6.0 mph WSW
3:41p 14.0 mph WSW
3:40p 12.0 mph WSW
3:38p 14.0 mph WSW
3:37p 14.0 mph WSW
3:35p 8.0 mph WSW
3:34p 11.0 mph SW
3:32p 11.0 mph WSW
3:30p 16.0 mph WSW
3:29p 10.0 mph WSW
3:28p 8.0 mph WSW
3:26p 16.0 mph WSW
3:25p 15.0 mph WSW
3:23p 14.0 mph WSW
3:22p 8.0 mph W
3:20p 13.0 mph WSW
3:19p 13.0 mph W
3:17p 15.0 mph WSW
3:15p 14.0 mph W
3:14p 12.0 mph WSW
3:12p 17.0 mph W
3:11p 14.0 mph W
Click for Bellingham, Washington Forecast (BLI Airport)
Rapid Update Soundings
Camera may not always point South!
When it does, Blanchard Mt is about 6mi SSE of the peak on the left.
Latest Image from Bellingham Cold Storage missing
Blanchard launch is   ↓  above and just to the left of the church steeple.  ↓
latest image looking north from Anacortes toward Blanchard and Mt Baker
Source Cam → Baker,Blanchard from Anacortes. | Cam location. | clear air shot | snow shows launch
KBLI Low elevation sounding analysis for 48.74N, 122.38W Near Lake Whatcom, Blanchard, and Stewart
♦Reverse Rows ***********
 is the lapse rate from the lowest to highest elevations listed.
 Point to point lapse rates are listed in the table.
Use the calculator below to determine lapse rates for other altitude ranges.
For the full RUC2 Sounding and Chart Click here
The lapse rate is change in temp / change in altitude
(lower row temp) - (higher row temp) / (thousands feet between them).
If it's warmer than it should be up high, stable air happens.
If it's lots colder than it should be up high and moist enough, thunderstorms happen.
The dry adiabadic lapse rate is -5.5F°/1000ft or about -3C°/1000ft.
The Standard lapse rate is -2.0 C° per 1000 feet, considered the rule of thumb for marginally stable air.
See the MM5 tutorial at Cascade Paragliding Club or details about Skew-t diagrams.
"Dry adiabatic lapse rate is a near constant of -9.8 C°/km. (-3 C°/1000ft)
Moist adiabatic lapse rate varies from about -4 C°/km (-1.2 C°/1000ft)
to nearly -9.8 C/km (-3 C°/1000ft)"
When the measured lapse rate is between -4 C°/km and -9.8 C°/km, it is "conditionally unstable".  Stability will depend on moisture content.   More moisture → less cooling as it rises → increasing instability.
When the temperature decreases at more than 9.8 C° per km altitude, it is absolutely unstable. see JEFF HABY Thermodynamics Q&A
See also the skew-t soundings and text data with indicies at Unisys.
These are for KUIL Quiallute where they actually launch a real balloon.
A fantastic glossary to help interpret the forecast discussions. TJ Olney
Speed Converter




Conversion factors Enter known speed on
right. Click convert.
10 mph → 8.7knots →16 kph → 4.5 mps
10knots → 11.5 mph → 18.5 kph → 5.14 mps
10 kph → 6.2 mph → 5.4knots → 2.78 mps
1 Meters/second (mps) → 197 feet/minute (fpm)
10 Meters/second (mps) → 36kph → 22.8mph
miles (mph)
knots (kt)
kilometers (km/h)
meters/sec (m/s)
(ft/sec) (ft/min)
Beaufort
  
Note: Beaufort cannot be entered because it would result in a range of numbers.
Note to P2 and Novice Pilots: Guidelines say to not fly in windspeeds over 15mph:
A Moderate Breeze: Small branches sway, numerous whitecaps. A 4 on the Beaufort scale.
MOS stands for Model Output Statistics.      1° of latitude = 69 miles
Time Sensitive Observation images
Fraser Valley Winds at 2400 feet VE7RVA Sumas Mt. wind talker mph | kph | All VE7RVA weather data
Current Weather Summary for WA - Seattle CWA — All Mesowest reports within 3 hours.
List of all MesoWest stations within 50 miles of blanchard launch.
RUC based Meteogram for KBLI Bellingham   |   RUC based Meteogram for CYXX Abbotsford
NAM based Meteograms and Time Heights every 6 hours for KBLI BellinghamNAM based Meteograms and Time Heights Abbotsford BC CYXX
Recent Padilla Bay wind and weather data   |    Simple Table    |    ♦ Source table.   |    MesoWest Padilla
Chart of Padilla Bay Wind Meters/sec 10m/s → 22mph | Padilla Bay Gusts Recent
UW 12 frame visible satellite Loop
XC maps wind map centered on blanchard | XC maps wind map centered on whidbey
Recent Surface Plots  SanJuans to Victoria | Howe Sound — Hope to Bellingham | zoom out to whole NW Wa
Zoomed satellite with relief map background from Weather Underground
Radar loop no Java VM! much quicker to load.
Weatherunderground zoomed radar Whidbey to Woodside
Canadian Radar from aldergrove. Sees past the Mt Baker Shadow...
Most recent skewt from Quillaute Balloon Release.
Mt Baker and Foothills from Ferndale.
All My online weather and mapping links.
Get Ferry Wind picture between Anacortes and San Juan Islands
Get Ferry Wind picture between Port Townsend Keystone Whidbey Island



National Weather Service forecasts.
NWS Forecast Western Whatcom County
Pre-set digital forecasts for Flying Sites
New graphical forecast tool
 
LAMP gfs based hourly forecasts updated every three hours. Localized Aviation MOS Program
25 hour Full GFS LAMP for Bellingham
25 hour Meteogram of above from LAMP
LAMP text forecast from Nested Grid Model
LAMP meteogram from Nested Grid Model

The pick and choose buttons have been removed to their own page.   mywidget.html click here.

All day hour-by-hour text RUC2/MAPS soundings
These have no graphics and are designed to be printed to take with you to the site.
After sunset there will be one run for the next day but it only has MAPS soundings.
  Woodside/Sumas/Bridal     Black Mt     Big Johnson     Stewart same as Blanchard     Ft Ebey     Skagit Valley     Tiger  

Pros Calls:   Jim's Call | Tom's Call |   Airspace charts at skyvector.com

 
Winds Aloft for YVR - Vancouver     undefined means light and variable. Accessed Friday, Jul 25, 2008 3:05PM PDT
Vancouver. BC for use 3000ft 6000ft 9000ft
10AM-2PM PDT at 00knots at 11knots +11°C at 19knots +5°C
2PM-11PM PDT at 00knots at 08knots +10°C at 15knots +5°C
11PM-10AM PDT at 00knots at 00knots +6°C at 09knots +3°C

Marine Forecast for Northern inland waters including the san juan islands- 253 PM PDT Fri Jul 25 2008
Tonight... SW wind 10 to 20 kt... Easing to 10 to 15 kt after midnight. Wind waves 1 to 3 ft.
Sat... S wind 10 to 15 kt. Wind waves 1 or 2 ft. Areas of drizzle in the morning.
Sat night... W wind 5 to 15 kt. Wind waves 1 or 2 ft. Chance of
Sun... SW wind 10 to 15 kt. Wind waves 1 ft or less.
Sun night... SW wind 10 to 20 kt... Easing to 10 to 15 kt after midnight. Wind waves 2 to 4 ft... Subsiding.
Mon... S wind 10 kt becoming SW late. Wind waves 1 ft or less.
Tue... S wind 10 kt... Rising to 10 to 20 kt in the afternoon. Wind waves 1 to 3 ft.
Wed... S wind 10 to 15 kt. Wind waves 1 or 2 ft.

Fraser Valley Forecast: Environment Canada at 4.00 PM PDT
  Friday 25 July 2008 for tonight
Temps are C° 0C° → 32F°   10C° → 50F°   15C° → 59F°     20C° → 68F°   25C° → 77F°   30C° → 86F°   35C° → 95F°
Fraser Valley - west including Abbotsford.
  Tonight..Cloudy periods. 30 percent chance of showers overnight. Low 13.
  Saturday..Cloudy with sunny periods. 30 percent chance of showers in the morning. High 21. UV index 5 or moderate.
  Saturday night..Overcast. Low 15.
Fraser Valley - east including Chilliwack.
  Tonight..Cloudy periods. Windy. Low 15.
  Saturday..Cloudy with sunny periods. High 23. UV index 5 or moderate.
  Saturday night..Cloudy. Low 15.
The Weather network short-term forecast for Abbotsford
 
 		 Friday
Evening 		Friday
Overnight 		Saturday
Morning 		Saturday
Afternoon
Temperature 19°C 12°C 15°C 22°C
Condition
Variable cloudiness
Cloudy periods
Variable cloudiness
Variable cloudiness
P.O.P. 20% 10% 30% 20%
Wind SW 5km/h S 5km/h calm W 5km/h
Humidity 68% 88% 77% 53%
Recent Observations (METARS) last checked Friday, Jul 25, 2008 at 5:17PM PDT

Aviation Digital Data Service (ADDS)

Output produced by METARs form (5:17 PM PDT
Conditions at: CYXX (ABBOTSFORD AIRPO, BC, CA) observed 5:00 PM PDT
Temperature: 24.0°C (75°F)
Dewpoint: 10.0°C (50°F) [RH = 41%]
Pressure (altimeter): 30.00 inches Hg (3:16 AM PDT.0 mb)
[Sea-level pressure: 1015.8 mb]
Winds: from the SW (220 degrees) at 14 MPH (12 knots; 6.2 m/s)
Visibility: 30 miles (48 km)
Ceiling: 24,000 feet AGL
Clouds: few clouds at 5,800 feet AGL
few clouds at 10,000 feet AGL
scattered clouds at 20,000 feet AGL
broken clouds at 24,000 feet AGL
Weather: no significant weather observed at this time
Conditions at: KBLI (BELLINGHAM, WA, US) observed 2353 25 July 2008
Temperature: 17.8°C (64°F)
Dewpoint: 7.8°C (46°F) [RH = 52%]
Pressure (altimeter): 30.00 inches Hg (3:16 AM PDT.0 mb)
[Sea-level pressure: 1016.3 mb]
Winds: from the S (170 degrees) at 10 MPH (9 knots; 4.7 m/s)
Visibility: 10 or more miles (16+ km)
Ceiling: at least 12,,000 feet AGL
Clouds: sky clear below 12,,000 feet AGL
Weather: no significant weather observed at this time
Conditions at: KBVS (BURLINGTON/MT V, WA, US) observed 5:10 PM PDT
Temperature: 21.0°C (70°F)
Dewpoint: 11.0°C (52°F) [RH = 53%]
Pressure (altimeter): 30.02 inches Hg (3:16 AM PDT.7 mb)
Winds: from the SW (220 degrees) at 9 MPH (8 knots; 4.2 m/s)
Visibility: 10 or more miles (16+ km)
Ceiling: at least 12,,000 feet AGL
Clouds: scattered clouds at 2,900 feet AGL
Conditions at: KNUW (WHIDBEY IS. NAS, WA, US) observed 2356 25 July 2008
Temperature: 16.1°C (61°F)
Dewpoint: 8.9°C (48°F) [RH = 62%]
Pressure (altimeter): 30.03 inches Hg (3:17 AM PDT.0 mb)
[Sea-level pressure: 1017.2 mb]
Winds: from the WSW (250 degrees) at 9 MPH (8 knots; 4.2 m/s)
Visibility: 10 or more miles (16+ km)
Ceiling: 20,000 feet AGL
Clouds: few clouds at 1,500 feet AGL
scattered clouds at 10,000 feet AGL
broken clouds at 20,000 feet AGL
Weather:
SOME DATA ABOVE MAY BE INACCURATE!!!
"$" is an indication the sensor requires maintenance
For Blanchard area: Station on Jul 25as of 17:47PM PDTSpeedDirGusts
Abbotsford airport 5:00 PM 14 mph SW
Bellingham Airport 4:53 PM 10 mph S
N Bham Bay--Marietta 5:22 PM 16 mph SE
Burlington Airport 5:30 PM 6 mph SW
Padilla Bay NERRS 5:30 PM 8 mph W 11 mph
Sumas Mt USA 3200 5:09 PM 3 mph NE 8 mph
Lookout Mt. MF Nooksack 4980 ft 5:00 PM 3 mph SW 6 mph
West Church Ridge US 3000ft 4:49 PM 1 mph N 9 mph
NE Bham near Britton Rd 427ft 5:30 PM 0 mph -
Chuckanut Bay 5:32 PM 5 mph S
VE7RVA Sumas Mt BC aprs Station 17:47PDT 5 mph 13 mph
Bellingham Cold Storage
For Tiger: Station on Jul 25as of 17:47PM PDTSpeedDirGusts
(K7MCR)Mitchell Hill 1204ft (N) 5:33 PM 1 mph W 6 mph
Cougar Hills 919ft 5:30 PM 1 mph NW 3 mph
North Bend1 518 ft 5:33 PM 4 mph SE 4 mph
North Bend2 459ft 5:00 PM 5 mph NW
Boeing Field 4:53 PM 0 mph -
For East Side: Station on Jul 25as of 17:47PM PDTSpeedDirGusts
Alpental Exit 2874 ft 5:00 PM 0 mph 0 mph
Manastash Ridge Eastbound 2520ft 3:45 PM 10 mph N 15 mph
Manastash Ridge Westbound 1417ft 5:00 PM 17 mph W 25 mph / 11m/s
2700ft Manastash Canyon NE 5:30 PM 0 mph - 0 mph
Saddle 5:30 PM 7 mph N 10 mph
Chelan 3:55 PM 5 mph SW 6 mph
For FtEbey: Station on Jul 25as of 17:47PM PDTSpeedDirGusts
Whidbey NAS 4:56 PM 9 mph W
Smith Island 5:00 PM 17 mph SW 18 mph
Mesowest Bouy 46088 5:20 PM 20 mph SW 27 mph / 12m/s
Race Rocks Bouy 5:00 PM 28 mph / 12m/s W
Keystone Ferry 5:05 PM 5 mph W
Jetty Island Weather at 5:49pm, 07/25/08 : Wind direction: SW. Avg 10 min speed: 12.0. Gusts 19.0.
Smith Island Continuous Winds (Source data updated hourly hh:18)
TIME
(PDT)		5-day plot - Wind Direction WDIR5-day plot - Wind Speed WSPD
5:00 pmWSW ( 237 deg ) 15 kts
4:50 pmWSW ( 241 deg ) 16 kts
4:40 pmWSW ( 242 deg ) 14 kts
4:30 pmWSW ( 247 deg ) 15 kts
4:20 pmWSW ( 248 deg ) 14 kts
4:10 pmWSW ( 240 deg ) 12 kts
'

Assembled by TJ Olney -- data from all over. Most have links back to source.