| 4500+ Great Links | The Recession and What Caused It | This is Derivative.tk |
| Copyright © 2009 by Zack Smith. All rights reserved.
IntroductionWe know we're in a Recession, so what caused it? And what factors are influencing it now? Who is profiting and who is losing? On this page I am presenting my notes on it.Let us not just assume, as the media would have us do, that poor people who bought houses they could not afford (or were suckered into it by predatory lenders) were the cause of the crisis or that they're the sole worthy recipient of blame. After all, bankers control the mainstream media corporations by exploiting interlocking directorships. No, there's much more to the story and the duped poor people may in fact be only a tiny part. It appears to be about bankers engaging in derivatives gambling, fraud, and money laundering on a massive scale. The workers
The borrowers
The speculatorsThere is a cadre of wealthy speculators who are at war with savers. Who's a saver? If work for a living and you put money into a bank for safety and to collect interest, you are a saver.Wealthy speculators like:
This effectively results in a global Ponzi scheme. Wealthy speculators dislike:
Wealthy speculators use part of their ill gotten gains to bribe politicians (which is legal in the USA where we call bribes "campaign contribution" or private consultant jobs). Therefore politicians are on their side, not on the side of the savers. The saversSavers are regular people who hope to benefit from putting their money in banks, which effectively lends the money to banks to speculate with in return for interest.Savers like:
Now that the FDIC has no money, the guarantee that they formerly offered is ringing pretty hollow. The shadow banking systemAlso known as the dark exchange, the after-hours market, the OTC market.According to Max Keiser:
Bank for International SettlementsLocated in Basel, Switzerland. Website.The BIS has useful statistics on the global derivatives market, which is $1200 trillion or so. BIS stats. Market irrationalismMarket ReligionSome time ago I devised the term market religion to describe what I saw as a set of behaviors that are akin to religion, in a psychological and anthropological sense. I had been taking courses in both psychology and anthropology. In the latter, athropologists are interested in what constitutes a religion and they generally specify a set of characteristics.I kept seeing these characteristics of religiousness in financial news reporting, but also in the America's capitalist culture generally. So I began to consider capitalism to be a kind of pseudo-religion. It was a satirical claim of course, but then again, as an atheist I often see patterns of religiousness in people, even in other atheists' behaviors and beliefs. More here. Market FundamentalismMarket fundamentalism is a term that describes a collection of claims that is actively promoted by various people.Some of these claims:
Ponzi schemesFractional reserve lending
US dollarSome have said the US dollar is itself a Ponzi scheme, because it is the world reserve currency.BubblesA bubble is a Ponzi scheme, created to transfer wealth to the Ponzi schemers, who then pop the bubble, and then they rush in afterward to suggest a solution to corrupt politicians like Obama and Gordon Brown that they profit from.The money supplyWhere does money come from literally?There are two sources of money:
When banks do not lend and/or people are the masses of peole and businesses are too poor to borrow, the money supply shrinks. When the money supply shrinks, money becomes more expensive and the relative value of a currency can increase and deflation can set in. In the USA, the Goldman-Sachs-controlled Obama Administration started giving billions of dollars away to corrupt, incompetent bankers and to anyone else who would accept it. This expanded the money supply but some deflation has occurred anyway. What is a market maker?This term can be a euphemism for a powerful market manipulator e.g. Goldman Sachs.They have great power over the market, because they are closer to the core mechanisms of the market. They can do program trading very quickly (trades made by a computer program) in 15 seconds or less. The market maker has two roles: As a broker and as an entity that trades for its own profit. As a result, they are in a position to profit twiceover from the market:
Zero-reserve banking systemThe banking cartel (banks and the US government) has figured out that banks can game the system so that they don't have anything on hand. A bank will obtain an asset, lend out 10 times its value, and right away sell the asset. So they have basically no risk except for the system itself. If they do experience a loss, they will employ the Neoliberal practice of going to Washington to get the politicians to have the taxpayers bail them out, paying off their bad bets. (In Neoliberalism they privatize profits and socialize losses.)LeverageFractional reserve lending in analogous to the system as a whole. Big financial companies are "over-leveraged" meaning they have bets and debts greatly in excess to their real assets. However since Alan Greenspan the "fraction" has been shrinking as a percentage. This increases the risk for everyone since a stable economy is one that is built upon production (not bets and debts) and whose currency is backed by (built upon) something tangible such as a precious metal like gold and/or silver.Bernie Madoff
Goldman Sachs has taken over the US government?Some charge that Goldman Sachs has staged a coup d'etat. Consider:
What are they up to?They are said to do 1 trillion trades per hour and to make a profit of $100 million per day.The WTC 7 connectionThe controlled demolition of the World Trade Center on 9/11 had a convenient effect from criminal bankers, in that the demolition of building 7 at 5:20pm, which most Americans have never seen nor heard of, resulted in a large loss of documents owned by foreign banks that described the value of assets.BubblesWhat is an economic bubble?A bubble is typically due to a Ponzi scheme.Anything that is a Ponzi scheme naturally creates a bubble. The Dot Com Bubble was created by a Ponzi scheme. The Housing Bubble was created by a Ponzi scheme. The credit crash of 2000-2008 was caused by a credit bubble. Since fractional reserve lending is a Ponzi scheme, it too creates a bubble. America's social security system is a Ponzi scheme. Bubbles beget more bubblesA Chinese official has admitted that China and the US are addressing bubbles by creating more bubbles.
Source:
InflationInflation is portrayed in some Economics 101 classes as being a natural phenomenon of the market.That's not quite correct. It is actually also the product of a scheme invented hundreds of years ago by kings and queens and dukes who realized that there was a hard limit on how much they could tax their subjects before they would face the end of a pitchfork. So a new scheme was invented. It works as follows. If you or I write a check without any money in the bank to pay for it, we risk going to jail. If the Federal Reserve does it however, Congress thanks them for it. Because although printing more money has bad future consequences those won't appear until later, and Congress will have spent the money by them. It was the same with royals. Rather than tax the public more, Congress can go to the Fed anytime and get free money. This weakens the dollar, which results in inflation. But this harm will not occur right away, so:
Thus, inflation is an indirect form of taxation. Shady international cabal of financiersIt has been said that when Ian Fleming was writing his James Bond books he always gave them a basis in truth, albeit uncommon truth. So on some level Dr No, Goldfinger and other bizarre characters had counterparts in the real world.For the common person who just wants to keep his or her down and live life, talk about an international cabal that is trying to shape world events will immediately illicit scoffs and condemnation of "conspiracy theories" and "tin foil hats". Yet there seems to be historical evidence, unsurprisingly not provided by Establishment lackeys, that such Dr No wannabe's do exist and regularly meet in organizations such as the Bilderberg group, Trilateral Commission, and the Council on Foreign Relation. Which is to say that economic bubbles are not accidents but are planned, as are Depressions, Recessions, and the like. Rich people of this ilk frequently use the term "New World Order" in public to refer to their ultimate goal. And indeed there are many momentous events where gross malfeasance or criminality played a role behind the scenes: The creation of the Federal Reserve; the Great Depression; major economic bubbles (Dot Com, Housing, etc.); repeal of the Glass-Stiegel Act; Since the G20 meeting in Pittsburgh people have said that the NWO goal of a "one world government" and a worldwide bank and currency is now moving ahead, with the Dr No types in control of it. What is the Federal Reserve?The Federal Reserve is a cartel of private banks whose members were once (around 1910) known as the Money Trust.The public despised them and wanted to break their parasitic grip on society so the Money Trust members pulled a fast one: They met secretly on Jekyll Island (Georgia) to write the Federal Reserve bill. They then used trickery to get it passed in Congress as a bill to break their own hold on the economy. Woodrow Wilson foolishly signed it into law, which he later admitted was a grave mistake. The Federal Reserve Act indeed legalized and enshrined the Money Trust as the Federal Reserve. The purpose of any cartel is to reduce competition between members preferably to zero while increasing profits and reducing risk for members. The Federal Reserve Act did that. The US government is fully in on the scam: The government is an active member in the cartel. DerivativesDefinitionA derivative is a gamble.
OTC = over the counterThis odd term refers to any transaction that does not have a middleman.When you buy a car from another person as a private sale, that is an example of an "over the counter" transaction. Transactions negotiated through Craigslist classified ads and on Ebay are often OTC as well. When you buy a stock on the stock market, this is not OTC. There is an intermediate (the market) who will sell you stocks even if there is no one selling to it. Likewise you can sell to the intermediate even if there is no buyer. The intermedate functions as a market maker. OTC can be risky for society if some party buys a highly risky product like a mortage-backed security without understanding that it's junk, and then asks society to bail them out. Mark to market is the act of defining the market value of a contract. Some companies, realizing that an objective value could not be set, abused the mark to market concept to engage in accounting fraud. The insurers
Program tradesA program trade is a trade brought about by a computer program. They are advantageous in certain situations.What certain situations? Arbitrage, from microsecond to microsecond or millisecond to millisecond. On the New York Stock Exchange, 70% of the trades are program trades. Of that 70%, 50% are by Goldman Sachs. Therefore, 35% of the volume on the NYSE is Goldman Sachs program trades. Another major program trader is Citadel. The mid-2009 scandal to do with Goldman Sachs software being stolen by a worker proved that Goldman is using program trades to reap $100 million per day, which is a collossal rigging of the market. Naked short sellingThere's a technique called "naked short selling" that is used to literally counterfeit a company's stock in order to make a profit by selling that fake or phantom stock. In the process, its price is driven down and that negatively affects whatever company is the victim of a naked short attack.
It is because of naked short selling that Bear Stearns' stock and Lehman Brothers' stock plummeted and each declared bankruptcy. They were the victims of fund managers orchestrating a coordinated attack on their stock using naked shorting. It's not just banks that have been victims. Many companies have including Overstock.com, as explained by its CEO in this Fox News interview of David Byrne. The SEC identified decreed that 19 banks to be protected from naked shorting. What this really meant was that the SEC was in all other cases and prior to that new rule refusing to enforce the laws against naked short selling, which is definitely an illegal activity. Why? Because the people and companies who profit from naked shorting are very powerful. Indeed, according to David Byrne 9 of the protected banks were engaging in naked short selling. Here's a YouTube video posted by WriterJudd about the naked-short-selling attacks on Bear Stearns and Lehman: Notice that in this video the author (presumably WriterJudd) identifies three hedge fund managers whom he believes are guilty of the Bear Stearns and Lehman attacks:
Hedge fund transactions may constitute 50% of the trades on the NYSE. Counterfeit ratingsEveryone knows that mortgage-backed securities were fraudulent. So why did organizations, towns, cities, and countries buy them?Because ratings agencies like Moody's were paid more to provide better ratings of these securities. It was fraud. This established the mortgage-backed securities as a "confidence game", i.e. one in which a victim is made to feel confident that something is worth a great deal of money when actually it's fairly worthless. The unemployedThe official unemployment number is bogus because it ignores people who are working only part-time and people who have stopped looking for work.So while the official rate as of July 2009 is 9.5% the truth is it's more like 16%. The Chinese lenders
The Wall St. fraudstersIn Max Keiser's films he identifies at least 16 types of fraud that are commonplace on Wall Street. Many of these techniques are old, but they are common and are used to steal from investors.He refers to Goldman Sachs and JP Morgan as financial-terrorist organizations. He notes that even the mainstream media has said that the economy is being "held random" by these bankers, and that Goldman Sachs desires to put the entire world under the yoke of debt-slavery. World debt versus world GDP
The US dollarIt's the world reserve currency. But for how long?
Dollar devaluationIn October 2009, journalist Robert Fisk announced that China, Fruance, Russia, oil producing countries and Gulf states had met secretly to discuss dumping the US dollar as the currency for trading oil.This is the "decoupling effect" that Peter Schiff warns will happen. It is known that China has been quietly accumulating gold. Gold has an inverse relationship with the dollar. It is known that Gulf states have about $2 trillion dollars of reserves. 63% of worldwide reserves of foreign currencies are US dollars according to Russia Today in October 2009. The Carry TradeInterest rates are not the same in every country. If you see that the interest rates are low in country A, such that you can borrow cheaply, and that investments exist in country B that are offer a higher rate of return, then you can make money by borrowing in one currency, exchanging it, and investing in country B. This is the carry trade.If the interest rates rise in country A, the carry trade disappears and investors are left with bad investments. The carry trade was instrumental in Iceland's unlikely rise. The carry trade is how they made money without producing anything and despite Iceland's tiny population of only 300,000 people. The carry trade can explain why the dollar has risen recently even while the stock market fell. The dollar was in demand because it's cheap to borrow. Interesting commentary by Jan-willem Nijkamp. Gold
The "Beijing put" refers to China's purchasing of gold whenever it falls below $1000 per ounce. It does so quietly so as to not send the price higher. Thus it buys in the valleys i.e. when the price dips. PlacesLondon
The future: What could happen?Peter Schiff says...Schiff is the former economic advisor to US presidential candidate Ron Paul. He regularly appears on mainstream media news shows to provide his opinions and debate the big wigs. He believes there will be a "decoupling effect" in which the US dollar will cease to be the world's reserve currency and will be abandoned.At his point both Russia and China have argued that the US dollar should be abandoned as the world reserve currency.
Max Keiser says...Keiser warns of a coming Great Depression II ("GP2") that will be worse than the first. He has been suggesting for over 5 years to invest in gold. He asserts the correct price per ounce of gold is about $1700 per ounce. He says that because no one is dealing with the financial terrorism of JP Morgan and Goldman Sachs it could go as high as $5000 per ounce.Jim Rogers says...His websiteRogers is a famous investor and frugal man who has "little need for money". He and friend George Soros won big when trading currency during their younger years. Rogers warns everyone to get out of the US dollar and the UK pound. He has famously told young Britons to leave the UK. Michael Hudson says...His websiteMichael Hudson explains the meltdown: KPFA Guns and Butter interview MP3. Mike Schedlock ("mish")Shortcut to his blogMish has pointed out (in late 2009) that the US has been experiencing deflation for some time and that the Fed's printing more money will ironiclly not in itself change that. Deflationists often refer to the lack of "money velocity". It has been noted that a lot of the new money that the Fed has printed has not gone into circulation, which is why the increased money supply has not led to hyperinflation. Instead the money is being hoarded by companies that received it like JP Morgan. Michael MooreMoore's 2009 film "Capitalism, a Love Story" brings the details of the derivatives mess and the threat of corporatism to the public's doorstep.He does a pretty good job considering that he makes mainstream American films and is surely constrained from speaking verboten topics. Yet what he doesn't say is almost more important than what he does. He fails in this documentary to mention:
AfricaThe Neoliberal system takes the resources of Africa and gives them aid and guns in returns. You can no longer say it's "the West" doing it, since China is in on the game.Reminder: Our corrupt mediaWe live in an age of huge scams. Massive wrongs are being committed or have been and few people are being held accountable. Even Obama may be in on the racketeering and the cover-ups. He is providing a continuation and even expansion of George W. Bush's policies.Both the mainstream media and the carefully-termed "alternative" media (as opposed to independent) have to varying extents been active in covering up the facts about all the major scams that have been in play and in protecting the guilty. For info about who controls the alternative media, see here: diagram A partial list of epic scams:
Finance Jargon
For reference: Gold price![]() gold price charts provided by goldprice.org And oil too: A poemWe're soon to be hosed, SDR superdollar or not. By derivative scams under our nose, Our Fed's greenback shall rot. A few linksLinks
|
|