My two cents worth

10:57 AM   It looks like I may of hit on something, Last week I listed all of the games where the home team was favored by 12 points or less and said the underdogs covered 62% of the time this year.
These picks went 10-3-2 this weekend.

My computer based picks went 3-2, to bring the season record to 20-26 in NCAA and 4-7 for NFL

10:08 AM   This week's picks (that you shouldn't be following) are: all road underdogs.
NCAA - Nevada +21, Georgia, Cincinnati +5.5, South carolina +14, Maryland +17, Indiana +18
NFL - Cleveland +2

Here is something new that I discovered this week. Home point favorites of 12 points or less have only covered about 38% of the time this season. So here is a list of the road underdogs that fit this trend: Air Force +6.5, Central Florida +2.5, Clemson +3, Troy +3, Southern Miss +6, Oklahoma +1, Colorado St. +6, Idaho +5, Arizona +8, Navy +6, Cincinnati +5.5, Iowa St. +10, Marshall +1, Kent +7

11:45 AM   There are two papers in the today's issue of Neuroepidemiology that I worked on.

"Change in Cognitive Function in Alzheimer's Disease in African-American and White Persons", and "Relation of Blood Pressure to Risk of Incident Alzheimer's Disease and Change in Global Cognitive Function in Older Persons"

Last week's football picks continued to suck. Year to date NCAA: 17-24, NFL: 4-6.

11:02 AM   Here are this week's picks, They don't look that great to me. A lot of 3.5's.

NCAA: Nebraska +3, S. Miss +1, Oregon -9.5, Cincy +22, Alabama -3.5, UConn +3.5, Wisconsin -8
NFL: Tennessee +3.5, San Diego +3.5

9:20 AM   Here is a paper in which I am a co-authoer, titled "Mild cognitive impairment in different functional domains and incident Alzheimer's disease".

If you were following the picks I have made here I would start looking somehwhere else. The ratings continue a terrible year.
NCAA to date 14-20, NFL 3-5

9:57 AM   Computer Ratings have been horrible against the spread this season.
My picks here that have always done well, but not so far this season.
12-15 overall for NCAA, and 3-3 for NFL.

For this week the numbers actually look believable.
New Mexico St. +20, Tulsa -7, S. Florida +2, Oklahoma St. +18, Florida Atlantic +5, Boston College -14, Oregon -15
NFL: Washington +6, Cleveland +5.5

9:41 AM   There are more picks this week than there has been in several weeks, hopefully that is a good sign.
NCAA: Louisana Monroe +27, Ohio +21.5, Eastern Mich +20.5, Florida St. -21, Uconn -6.5, Oklahoma St. +5
NFL: Cincinnati +2.5, Seattle +3

7:15 PM   No picks at all this week. This season has gotten off to an unpredictable start.
Season to date NCAA 11-10, NFL 2-2.